Taça de Portugal · Full time ·1/128-finals

Portalegrense vs Santo Antonio

0 – 3 Full time

Portalegrense 32%
Draw 26%
Santo Antonio 42%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Portalegrense vs Santo Antonio overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Portalegrense vs Santo Antonio

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPortalegrenseDrawSanto Antonio
Model32.2%26.2%41.6%
Market———
Final32.2%26.2%41.6%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Portalegrense ↓ / Santo Antonio → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 6% 1 12% 9% 2 8% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 6%

Portalegrense and Santo Antonio expected goals

Portalegrense 1.44
Santo Antonio 1.64

Total expected goals: 3.08

Portalegrense and Santo Antonio attack and defence ratings

Portalegrense

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Santo Antonio

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Portalegrense vs Santo Antonio: result vs prediction

Portalegrense 0 – 3 Santo Antonio

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other 1/128-finals fixtures

Taça de Portugal

Before and after this match

Portalegrense vs Santo Antonio markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Santo Antonio 41.6% 2.40 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58.5% 1.71 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.8% 1.62 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.8% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.8% 1.70 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Portalegrense32.2%
Draw26.2%
Santo Antonio41.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558.5%
Under 2.541.5%
Both teams to scoreYes61.8%
No38.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)58.4%
12 (either side)73.8%
X2 (draw or away)67.8%
Handicap -1Santo Antonio win21.6%
Push (exactly one goal)19.6%
Loss58.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.1%
1-28.9%
2-17.8%

Portalegrense vs Santo Antonio stats

Portalegrense and Santo Antonio recent form

newest first
Portalegrense L
Santo Antonio no matches on record

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.

Portalegrense vs Santo Antonio head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Portalegrense vs Santo Antonio odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.