Taça de Portugal
·
Full time
·Round of 128
Camacha
vs
Florgrade
0 – 1 Full time
| 85′ | Florgrade |
Camacha
45%
Draw
29%
Florgrade
25%
Camacha vs Florgrade overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Camacha vs Florgrade
| Probability | Camacha | Draw | Florgrade |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.5% | 28.0% | 30.5% |
| Market | 46.8% | 29.5% | 23.6% |
| Final | 45.5% | 29.1% | 25.4% |
| Edge | -5.3% | -1.6% | +6.9% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
77%
3+ goals
51%
No goals
8%
Camacha and Florgrade expected goals
Camacha
1.48
Florgrade
1.24
Total expected goals: 2.71
Camacha and Florgrade attack and defence ratings
Camacha
Attack
1.07 +7%
Defence
1.15 +15%
Florgrade
Attack
0.71 -29%
Defence
0.80 -20%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Camacha vs Florgrade: result vs prediction
Camacha 0 – 1 Florgrade
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round of 128 fixtures
Before and after this match
Camacha vs Florgrade markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Camacha | 45.5% | 2.20 | -5.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Camacha | 45.5% |
| Draw | 29.1% | |
| Florgrade | 25.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.0% |
| No | 44.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Camacha win | 20.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 58.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | |
| 1-0 | 8.6% |
Camacha vs Florgrade stats
Camacha vs Florgrade head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
1Camacha wins
0Draws
0Florgrade wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Camacha | Florgrade | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Camacha vs Florgrade odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.8%, draw 29.5%, away 23.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.93 | 3.00 | 3.92 |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 1.93 | 3.13 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 1.95 | 3.10 | 3.65 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.10 | 3.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.91 | 3.00 | 3.82 |
| Pinnacle | 1.92 | 2.91 | 3.84 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 2.80 | 3.80 |