Taça de Portugal
·
Full time
·Round of 64
Felgueiras 1932
vs
Fafe
1 – 0 Full time
| 11′ | Felgueiras 1932 | ||
| 28′ | Fafe | ||
| 51′ | Fafe | ||
| 55′ | Fafe | ||
| 58′ | Felgueiras 1932 | ||
| 68′ | Felgueiras 1932 | ||
| 84′ | Fafe | ||
| 85′ | A. Freitas |
Felgueiras 1932
27%
Draw
36%
Fafe
36%
Felgueiras 1932 vs Fafe overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Felgueiras 1932 vs Fafe
| Probability | Felgueiras 1932 | Draw | Fafe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.3% | 36.4% | 36.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 27.3% | 36.4% | 36.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
81%
2+ goals
52%
3+ goals
24%
No goals
19%
Felgueiras 1932 and Fafe expected goals
Felgueiras 1932
0.77
Fafe
0.93
Total expected goals: 1.71
Felgueiras 1932 and Fafe attack and defence ratings
Felgueiras 1932
Attack
0.77 -23%
Defence
0.64 -36%
Fafe
Attack
0.99 -1%
Defence
0.59 -41%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Felgueiras 1932 vs Fafe: result vs prediction
Felgueiras 1932 1 – 0 Fafe
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
Before and after this match
Felgueiras 1932 vs Fafe markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 36.4% | 2.75 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 66.0% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Felgueiras 1932 | 27.3% |
| Draw | 36.4% | |
| Fafe | 36.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 24.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 75.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 34.0% |
| No | 66.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 63.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fafe win | 13.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 63.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 19.5% |
| 0-1 | 15.6% | |
| 1-1 | 14.4% |
Felgueiras 1932 vs Fafe stats
Felgueiras 1932 and Fafe recent form
| Felgueiras 1932 |
LWLLWD |
| Fafe |
WWLDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Felgueiras 1932 vs Fafe head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
7Felgueiras 1932 wins
1Draws
1Fafe wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-01-05 | Fafe | Felgueiras 1932 | Liga 3 | 0-3 |
| 2023-09-16 | Felgueiras 1932 | Fafe | Liga 3 | 1-0 |
| 2023-09-10 | Fafe | Felgueiras 1932 | Taça de Portugal | 1-2 |
| 2023-02-25 | Fafe | Felgueiras 1932 | Liga 3 | 1-1 |
| 2022-11-13 | Felgueiras 1932 | Fafe | Liga 3 | 1-0 |
| 2022-02-23 | Fafe | Felgueiras 1932 | Liga 3 | 0-1 |
| 2021-09-18 | Felgueiras 1932 | Fafe | Liga 3 | 3-1 |
| 2021-03-14 | Fafe | Felgueiras 1932 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | 2-1 |
| 2020-12-18 | Felgueiras 1932 | Fafe | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.