Felgueiras 1932
vs
Fafe
Garuda Lions Prediction: Fafe
0 – 1 Predicted score · 15% model probability
Felgueiras 1932 vs Fafe overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Felgueiras 1932 vs Fafe
| Probability | Felgueiras 1932 | Draw | Fafe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.6% | 35.6% | 35.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 28.6% | 35.6% | 35.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Fafe
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Felgueiras 1932 vs Fafe match preview
Felgueiras 1932 faces Fafe in the Taça de Portugal, with kickoff scheduled for October 18, 2026. The model probabilities indicate a competitive match, with Felgueiras 1932 at 29% to win, while both a draw and a Fafe victory are equally likely at 36%. The most probable scoreline is 0-1 in favor of Fafe, occurring with a 15% likelihood.
In terms of expected goals, Felgueiras 1932 is projected to score 0.83, while Fafe is slightly ahead at 0.96. Recent form shows Felgueiras 1932 with a mixed record of W-L-L-W-D-D, while Fafe comes in strong with three consecutive wins and a recent record of W-W-L-D-W-W. The overall confidence grade for this match is C, indicating uncertainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Felgueiras 1932 and Fafe expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.79
Felgueiras 1932 and Fafe attack and defence ratings
Felgueiras 1932
Fafe
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 64 fixtures
Before and after this match
Felgueiras 1932 vs Fafe markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fafe | 35.8% | 2.79 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.9% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Felgueiras 1932 | 28.6% |
| Draw | 35.6% | |
| Fafe | 35.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 26.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 73.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.1% |
| No | 63.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 64.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fafe win | 13.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 64.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 18.1% |
| 0-1 | 14.7% | |
| 1-1 | 14.6% |
Felgueiras 1932 vs Fafe stats
Felgueiras 1932 and Fafe recent form
| Felgueiras 1932 |
WLLWDD |
| Fafe |
WWLDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.