Chaves vs AVS overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chaves vs AVS
| Probability | Chaves | Draw | AVS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.1% | 29.3% | 38.6% |
| Market | 47.8% | 27.9% | 24.3% |
| Final | 43.9% | 28.3% | 27.8% |
| Edge | -15.7% | +1.4% | +14.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
73%
3+ goals
46%
No goals
9%
Chaves and AVS expected goals
Chaves
1.19
AVS
1.33
Total expected goals: 2.52
Chaves and AVS attack and defence ratings
Chaves
Attack
1.10 +10%
Defence
1.40 +40%
AVS
Attack
0.82 -18%
Defence
0.86 -14%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Chaves vs AVS: result vs prediction
Chaves 2 – 2 AVS
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Chaves vs AVS markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chaves | 43.9% | 2.28 | -15.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.5% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.2% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chaves | 43.9% |
| Draw | 28.3% | |
| AVS | 27.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.5% |
| No | 47.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Chaves win | 13.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.2% | |
| Loss | 67.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 0-1 | 9.4% | |
| 0-0 | 9.3% |
Chaves vs AVS stats
Chaves vs AVS head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Chaves vs AVS odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.1%, draw 27.9%, away 24.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.87 | 3.35 | 3.95 |
| 1xBet | 1.94 | 3.28 | 3.94 |
| 888Sport | 1.91 | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.25 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.91 | 3.30 | 3.70 |
| Betano | 1.91 | 3.40 | 3.95 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.30 | 3.75 |
| Dafabet | 1.91 | 3.50 | 4.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.92 | 3.28 | 3.94 |
| Pinnacle | 1.96 | 3.32 | 4.18 |
| SBO | 1.95 | 3.12 | 3.38 |
| Superbet | 1.97 | 3.35 | 3.75 |
| Unibet | 1.78 | 3.40 | 3.85 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.00 | 3.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.93 ▲ +0.09
X
3.30 ▼ -0.08
2
3.80 ▼ -0.30
3 snapshots recorded, from .