Garuda Lions
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NM Cupen · Full time ·Round of 32

Raufoss vs Start

1 – 5 Full time

8′N. FremstadM. Aanesland
12′R. Zekhnini
15′M. Ugland
21′J. Cornelius
30′J. Cornelius
33′R. ZekhniniY. Agyeman
45′M. Larsen
64′J. NorheimE. Reitan
64′N. JojicE. Schulze
70′E. Reitan
74′M. UglandS. Mvoue
74′J. CorneliusS. Samuyiwa
78′E. Schulze
80′E. SildnesT. E. Engebakken
80′M. LarsenJ. Sjol
80′H. KarlsenE. Gjerde
81′D. DashaevF. Palerud

NAMMO Stadion, Raufoss

Raufoss 15%
Draw 21%
Start 64%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Raufoss vs Start overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Raufoss vs Start

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRaufossDrawStart
Model9.8%17.5%72.7%
Market16.9%21.7%61.4%
Final15.1%20.6%64.2%
Edge-7.1%-4.2%+11.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Start

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.49 vs 0.84.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Start below the model: +11.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Raufoss ↓ / Start → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 11% 9% 10% 1 8% 9% 8% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 65%
No goals 4%

Raufoss and Start expected goals

Raufoss 0.84
Start 2.49

Total expected goals: 3.33

Raufoss and Start attack and defence ratings

Raufoss

Attack 0.70 -30%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Start

Attack 0.71 -29%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Raufoss vs Start: result vs prediction

Raufoss 1 – 5 Start

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 32 fixtures

NM Cupen

Before and after this match

Raufoss vs Start markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Start 64.2% 1.56 +11.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.7% 1.55 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.9% 1.89 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 84.9% 1.18 — —
Handicap -1 Start win 51.3% 1.95 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Raufoss15.1%
Draw20.6%
Start64.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.7%
Under 2.535.3%
Both teams to scoreYes52.9%
No47.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)35.8%
12 (either side)79.4%
X2 (draw or away)84.9%
Handicap -1Start win51.3%
Push (exactly one goal)21.4%
Loss27.3%
Correct score (top 3)0-211.1%
1-29.3%
0-39.2%

Raufoss vs Start stats

Raufoss and Start recent form

newest first
Raufoss LWWLLL
Start LWWLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Raufoss vs Start head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Raufoss wins 3Draws 3Start wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-10-04StartRaufossNorway 1. Division4-0
2025-05-11RaufossStartNorway 1. Division0-0
2024-08-26StartRaufoss1. Division1-2
2024-06-23RaufossStart1. Division2-1
2023-08-20RaufossStart1. Division2-1
2023-04-30StartRaufoss1. Division1-3
2022-09-17RaufossStart1. Division1-2
2022-05-26StartRaufoss1. Division2-2
2021-09-29RaufossStart1. Division1-3
2021-07-17StartRaufoss1. Division1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Raufoss vs Start odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 16.9%, draw 21.7%, away 61.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 5.52 4.25 1.51
Bet365 5.25 4.33 1.53
BetVictor 5.50 4.20 1.50
Betfair 5.00 4.20 1.44
Marathonbet 5.45 4.25 1.50
Pinnacle 5.63 4.37 1.49
William Hill 5.00 3.90 1.50

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.