NM Cupen · Full time ·Round of 32

Tromsdalen Uil vs Lyn

1 – 3 Full time

28′I. K. SelnesL. Engas
29′M. Johansen
44′L. Engas
45′A. Olsen
46′A. HellumF. Sock
46′H. NilsenI. Barnett
46′S. HaugenW. Sell
54′W. Sell
58′J. Elvebu
60′J. ElvebuE. Ness
60′K. SwalehS. Halvorsen
67′D. FredriksenJ. Nois
67′M. JohansenA. Memedov
74′S. Halvorsen
74′I. AdolfsenM. Badsvik
83′A. Olsen
87′A. Memedov
90′M. Badsvik
90′F. Sock

TUIL arenaReferee: A. Al Hatem

Tromsdalen Uil 44%
Draw 24%
Lyn 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Tromsdalen Uil vs Lyn overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Tromsdalen Uil vs Lyn

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTromsdalen UilDrawLyn
Model43.9%22.5%33.6%
Market44.5%24.3%31.2%
Final44.4%23.8%31.8%
Edge-0.2%-0.4%+0.6%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Tromsdalen Uil

  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Tromsdalen Uil ↓ / Lyn → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 7% 2 4% 8% 7% 4% 3 6% 5% 4+ 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 74%
No goals 3%

Tromsdalen Uil and Lyn expected goals

Tromsdalen Uil 2.06
Lyn 1.80

Total expected goals: 3.86

Tromsdalen Uil and Lyn attack and defence ratings

Tromsdalen Uil

Attack 1.66 +66%
Defence 0.73 -27%

Lyn

Attack 0.76 -24%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Tromsdalen Uil vs Lyn: result vs prediction

Tromsdalen Uil 1 – 3 Lyn

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 32 fixtures

NM Cupen

Before and after this match

Tromsdalen Uil vs Lyn markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Tromsdalen Uil 44.4% 2.25 -0.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 74.1% 1.35 — —
Both teams to score Yes 73.6% 1.36 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.2% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.1% 1.78 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Tromsdalen Uil44.4%
Draw23.8%
Lyn31.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.574.1%
Under 2.525.9%
Both teams to scoreYes73.6%
No26.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.2%
12 (either side)76.2%
X2 (draw or away)55.6%
Handicap -1Tromsdalen Uil win25.4%
Push (exactly one goal)18.4%
Loss56.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-18.6%
2-18.0%
2-27.2%

Tromsdalen Uil vs Lyn stats

Tromsdalen Uil and Lyn recent form

newest first
Tromsdalen Uil WWLWWW
Lyn LWLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Tromsdalen Uil vs Lyn head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

2Tromsdalen Uil wins 0Draws 1Lyn wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-04-24Tromsdalen UilLynNM Cupen3-1
2023-11-19Tromsdalen UilLyn2. Division - Play-offs0-2
2023-11-15LynTromsdalen Uil2. Division - Play-offs1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Tromsdalen Uil vs Lyn odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.5%, draw 24.3%, away 31.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.08 3.80 2.98
BetVictor 2.05 3.80 3.00
Betano 2.10 3.70 2.90
Betfair 2.00 3.75 2.90
Dafabet 2.13 3.80 2.95
Marathonbet 2.06 3.80 2.96

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.