Lyn
vs
Raufoss
Garuda Lions Prediction: Lyn
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.63 vs 1.34.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Lyn is the favourite, not a value bet.
Lyn vs Raufoss overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lyn vs Raufoss
| Probability | Lyn | Draw | Raufoss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 64.5% | 18.6% | 16.9% |
| Market | 65.6% | 19.1% | 15.2% |
| Final | 65.3% | 19.0% | 15.7% |
| Edge | -0.3% | -0.1% | +0.4% |
Why Lyn
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.63 vs 1.34.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.44, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -5.9% per unit staked (our 65.3% × 1.44 − 1).
Lyn vs Raufoss match preview
Lyn faces Raufoss in the Norway 1. Division with a strong probability of victory for Lyn at 65%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1, occurring at a rate of 9%. Lyn's expected goals stand at 2.63, while Raufoss is projected to score 1.34. There is a notable likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 76% and both teams scoring at 69%.
Recent form shows Lyn struggling with a sequence of losses, recording one win in their last six matches. Raufoss has also been underperforming, with five losses and one draw in their last six games. In their last three encounters, Lyn has dominated Raufoss, winning all three without conceding. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating moderate certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lyn and Raufoss expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.97
Lyn and Raufoss attack and defence ratings
Lyn
Raufoss
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
Before and after this match
Lyn vs Raufoss markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lyn | 65.3% | 1.53 | -0.3% | 1.44 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Lyn win | 44.5% | 2.25 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lyn | 65.3% |
| Draw | 19.0% | |
| Raufoss | 15.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.1% |
| No | 30.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 34.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lyn win | 44.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 35.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.8% |
| 3-1 | 7.7% | |
| 1-1 | 7.3% |
Lyn vs Raufoss stats
Lyn and Raufoss recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lyn and Raufoss season so far
Lyn record
- They have won 9 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Raufoss record
- They have won 6 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Lyn vs Raufoss head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Raufoss | Lyn | Norway 1. Division | 0-1 |
| 2025-08-02 | Raufoss | Lyn | Norway 1. Division | 0-3 |
| 2025-06-18 | Lyn | Raufoss | Norway 1. Division | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Lyn vs Raufoss odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 65.6%, draw 19.1%, away 15.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.41 | 4.85 | 6.11 |
| Betano | 1.44 | 4.75 | 5.80 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 4.75 | 6.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.40 | 4.85 | 6.05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.39 | 5.17 | 6.34 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.50 | 5.50 |