Garuda Lions
Today
NM Cupen · Full time ·Round of 32

Molde vs Stromsgodset

4 – 1 Full time

10′T. Kone-Doherty
20′V. Dedes
30′B. Risa
37′G. Wikheim
43′J. Abdullai
46′A. SkistadE. Ingebrethsen
55′A. Heredia-Randen
61′S. Lampinen-SkaugM. Lamhauge
62′B. RisaF. Dahl
62′J. AbdullaiS. Granaas
62′M. DaehliD. Daga
74′O. Spiten-NysaeterC. Zady
78′V. DedesS. Andresen
89′N. Odegard
90′E. HauganS. Hansen
90′N. Odegard

Aker Stadion, MoldeReferee: M. S. Kringstad

Molde 61%
Draw 14%
Stromsgodset 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Molde vs Stromsgodset overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Molde vs Stromsgodset

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMoldeDrawStromsgodset
Model10.9%16.3%72.8%
Market78.3%13.1%8.6%
Final61.5%13.9%24.6%
Edge-16.8%+0.8%+16.0%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Molde ↓ / Stromsgodset → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 9% 8% 11% 1 7% 9% 8% 11% 2 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 73%
No goals 3%

Molde and Stromsgodset expected goals

Molde 1.04
Stromsgodset 2.76

Total expected goals: 3.80

Molde and Stromsgodset attack and defence ratings

Molde

Attack 1.52 +52%
Defence 0.70 -30%

Stromsgodset

Attack 1.23 +23%
Defence 0.49 -51%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Molde vs Stromsgodset: result vs prediction

Molde 4 – 1 Stromsgodset

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 32 fixtures

NM Cupen

Before and after this match

Molde vs Stromsgodset markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Molde 61.5% 1.63 -16.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 73.1% 1.37 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.1% 1.64 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 86.1% 1.16 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 89.1% 1.12 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Molde61.5%
Draw13.9%
Stromsgodset24.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.573.1%
Under 2.526.9%
Both teams to scoreYes61.1%
No38.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.4%
12 (either side)86.1%
X2 (draw or away)38.5%
Handicap -1Molde win3.9%
Push (exactly one goal)7.0%
Loss89.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-28.9%
0-28.5%
1-38.2%

Molde vs Stromsgodset stats

Molde and Stromsgodset recent form

newest first
Molde WWDLWW
Stromsgodset LWWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Molde vs Stromsgodset head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Molde wins 2Draws 2Stromsgodset wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-09-24StromsgodsetMoldeNM Cupen1-1
2025-08-31StromsgodsetMoldeEliteserien3-1
2025-07-19MoldeStromsgodsetEliteserien4-1
2024-12-01StromsgodsetMoldeEliteserien1-0
2024-04-01MoldeStromsgodsetEliteserien4-0
2023-09-24StromsgodsetMoldeEliteserien1-1
2023-06-28MoldeStromsgodsetNM Cupen3-0
2023-05-13MoldeStromsgodsetEliteserien3-2
2022-07-31MoldeStromsgodsetEliteserien3-0
2022-04-10StromsgodsetMoldeEliteserien1-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Molde vs Stromsgodset odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 78.3%, draw 13.1%, away 8.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.18 7.10 10.70
Bet365 1.18 6.00 11.00
BetVictor 1.17 7.00 11.50
Betano 1.20 6.50 10.75
Betfair 1.13 7.50 12.00
Dafabet 1.19 7.40 11.00
Marathonbet 1.17 7.10 10.75
Pinnacle 1.18 7.18 9.63
SBO 1.14 6.38 9.06
William Hill 1.20 6.00 10.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.18 ▼ -0.11
X 7.05 ▲ +1.30
2 10.75 ▲ +3.15

5 snapshots recorded, from .