NM Cupen · Full time ·Round of 32

Asane vs hodd

3 – 0 Full time

46′M. FismenA. Sundsoy
46′M. IngebrigtsenK. Barmen
46′T. KallevagM. Kaarsbo
46′T. KinnO. Buur
52′L. Rossi
66′L. Rossi
68′G. RamsayD. Wolfe
68′M. HagaS. Nygard
72′M. Kaarsbo
73′T. L. Furebotn
73′M. ScarcellaF. Gjerde
81′H. UrnesS. Mikkelsen
83′L. RossiL. Aaker-Saldanha
85′K. AbrahamsenM. Mulac
90′S. Brudvik

Asane Arena, BergenReferee: M. Koloy

Asane 33%
Draw 23%
hodd 44%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Asane vs hodd overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Asane vs hodd

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAsaneDrawhodd
Model8.9%15.3%75.9%
Market40.5%25.8%33.8%
Final32.6%23.1%44.3%
Edge-7.9%-2.6%+10.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why hodd

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.80 vs 0.91.
  • The market prices hodd below our published probability: +10.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Asane ↓ / hodd → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 10% 9% 12% 1 7% 9% 8% 11% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 72%
No goals 3%

Asane and hodd expected goals

Asane 0.91
hodd 2.80

Total expected goals: 3.71

Asane and hodd attack and defence ratings

Asane

Attack 0.68 -32%
Defence 0.93 -7%

hodd

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Asane vs hodd: result vs prediction

Asane 3 – 0 hodd

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 32 fixtures

NM Cupen

Before and after this match

Asane vs hodd markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 hodd 44.3% 2.26 +10.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 71.5% 1.40 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.7% 1.76 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.9% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 hodd win 56.3% 1.78 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Asane32.6%
Draw23.1%
hodd44.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.571.5%
Under 2.528.5%
Both teams to scoreYes56.7%
No43.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)55.7%
12 (either side)76.9%
X2 (draw or away)67.4%
Handicap -1hodd win56.3%
Push (exactly one goal)19.6%
Loss24.1%
Correct score (top 3)0-29.6%
0-39.0%
1-28.7%

Asane vs hodd stats

Asane and hodd recent form

newest first
Asane WLLWLL
hodd LWDLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Asane vs hodd head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Asane wins 5Draws 2hodd wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-05AsanehoddNorway 1. Division2-2
2026-05-01hoddAsaneNorway 1. Division1-0
2026-03-21AsanehoddFriendlies Clubs0-1
2025-10-18hoddAsaneNorway 1. Division3-3
2025-07-26AsanehoddNorway 1. Division2-2
2025-03-15hoddAsaneFriendlies Clubs2-3
2024-03-24AsanehoddFriendlies Clubs2-0
2023-09-17Asanehodd1. Division1-0
2023-04-22hoddAsane1. Division1-1
2016-09-18Asanehodd1. Division1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Asane vs hodd odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.5%, draw 25.8%, away 33.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.40 3.50 2.61
Bet365 2.15 3.25 2.90
BetVictor 2.45 3.50 2.55
Betano 2.25 3.65 2.77
Betfair 2.38 3.60 2.50
Dafabet 2.20 3.55 3.00
Marathonbet 2.22 3.60 2.79
Pinnacle 2.17 3.71 2.77
SBO 2.24 3.18 2.56
William Hill 2.38 3.25 2.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.25 ▼ -0.01
X 3.52 ▼ -0.01
2 2.69 ▼ -0.03

2 snapshots recorded, from .