Bodo/Glimt
vs
Borussia Dortmund
Garuda Lions Prediction: Borussia Dortmund
1 – 2 Predicted score · 6% model probability
Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund
| Probability | Bodo/Glimt | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.3% | 20.5% | 32.2% |
| Market | 29.8% | 23.7% | 46.5% |
| Final | 34.2% | 22.9% | 42.9% |
| Edge | +17.5% | -3.1% | -14.4% |
Why Borussia Dortmund
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.14, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund match preview
Bodo/Glimt faces Borussia Dortmund in the UEFA Champions League with a kickoff scheduled for October 14, 2026. The model indicates a 34% chance of a Bodo/Glimt victory, a 23% probability of a draw, and a 43% likelihood for a Borussia Dortmund win. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-2, occurring at a rate of 6%. Expectations for goals are high, with an 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 79% probability that both teams will score.
In terms of recent form, Bodo/Glimt has recorded three wins and two losses in their last six matches, while Borussia Dortmund has been in excellent form, winning all six of their most recent games. The expected goals for Bodo/Glimt stand at 2.40, compared to 1.99 for Borussia Dortmund. The head-to-head record shows that Bodo/Glimt has not secured a win against Borussia Dortmund, with one draw in their last encounter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bodo/Glimt and Borussia Dortmund expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.39
Bodo/Glimt and Borussia Dortmund attack and defence ratings
Bodo/Glimt
Borussia Dortmund
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other League Stage - 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Borussia Dortmund | 42.9% | 2.33 | -14.4% | 2.14 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.8% | 1.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bodo/Glimt | 34.2% |
| Draw | 22.9% | |
| Borussia Dortmund | 42.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 18.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 79.1% |
| No | 20.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Borussia Dortmund win | 17.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.8% | |
| Loss | 67.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 7.1% |
| 2-2 | 7.1% | |
| 1-1 | 6.5% |
Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund stats
Bodo/Glimt and Borussia Dortmund recent form
| Bodo/Glimt |
WLWLWW |
| Borussia Dortmund |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-10 | Borussia Dortmund | Bodo/Glimt | UEFA Champions League | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 29.8%, draw 23.7%, away 46.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.28 | 4.11 | 2.14 |
| Bet365 | 3.20 | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| BetVictor | 3.13 | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| Betano | 3.15 | 4.00 | 2.07 |
| Betfair | 3.20 | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| Dafabet | 3.15 | 4.00 | 2.08 |
| Marathonbet | 3.20 | 4.00 | 2.08 |
| Pinnacle | 3.21 | 4.08 | 2.02 |
| SBO | 2.80 | 3.44 | 2.00 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 3.80 | 2.05 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .