UEFA Champions League · Full time ·League Stage - 2

Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund

1 – 0 Full time

13′Kouakou Joane Gadou
25′Fábio Silva
52′Fredrik Sjovold
60′Joey VeermanFelix Nmecha
60′Konstantinos KaretsasEthan Nwaneri
60′Fábio SilvaSerhou Guirassy
60′Samuele InácioJulian Ryerson
77′Maximilian BeierCarney Chukwuemeka
78′Jens Petter HaugeOla Brynhildsen

Aspmyra Stadion, HakataReferee: Urs Schnyder

Bodo/Glimt 36%
Draw 23%
Borussia Dortmund 41%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 4
48 Possession % 52
4 Corners 10
7 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 3
4 Saves 2
467 Accurate passes 504

Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBodo/GlimtDrawBorussia Dortmund
Model47.2%20.8%32.0%
Market32.8%23.8%43.5%
Final36.4%23.0%40.6%
Edge+3.6%-0.7%-2.9%

Confidence: Medium · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Borussia Dortmund

  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bodo/Glimt ↓ / Borussia Dortm → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 6% 4% 2 4% 7% 7% 5% 3 6% 6% 4+ 6% 6% 4%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 93%
3+ goals 80%
No goals 2%

Bodo/Glimt and Borussia Dortmund expected goals

Bodo/Glimt 2.35
Borussia Dortmund 1.96

Total expected goals: 4.30

Bodo/Glimt and Borussia Dortmund attack and defence ratings

Bodo/Glimt

Attack 1.67 +67%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Borussia Dortmund

Attack 1.48 +48%
Defence 0.75 -25%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund: result vs prediction

Bodo/Glimt 1 – 0 Borussia Dortmund

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other League Stage - 2 fixtures

UEFA Champions League

Before and after this match

Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Borussia Dortmund 40.6% 2.46 -2.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 80.5% 1.24 — —
Both teams to score Yes 78.4% 1.28 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 77.0% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 67.7% 1.48 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bodo/Glimt36.4%
Draw23.0%
Borussia Dortmund40.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.580.5%
Under 2.519.5%
Both teams to scoreYes78.4%
No21.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)59.4%
12 (either side)77.0%
X2 (draw or away)63.6%
Handicap -1Borussia Dortmund win17.3%
Push (exactly one goal)15.0%
Loss67.7%
Correct score (top 3)2-17.3%
2-27.1%
1-16.8%

Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund stats

Bodo/Glimt and Borussia Dortmund recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bodo/Glimt and Borussia Dortmund going into this match

league record before kick-off

Bodo/Glimt record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Bodo/Glimt wins 1Draws 0Borussia Dortmund wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-12-10Borussia DortmundBodo/GlimtUEFA Champions League2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 32.8%, draw 23.8%, away 43.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.14 4.05 2.22
Bet365 2.90 4.00 2.15
BetVictor 2.90 4.10 2.15
Betano 3.05 4.10 2.22
Betfair 2.90 4.20 2.15
Dafabet 2.90 4.00 2.23
Marathonbet 3.06 3.94 2.16
Pinnacle 3.08 3.94 2.22
SBO 2.71 3.59 2.21
William Hill 2.90 3.80 2.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.90 ▼ -0.23
X 4.00 —
2 2.19 ▲ +0.14

16 snapshots recorded, from .