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Eliteserien · Full time ·Matchday 24

Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund

1 – 4 Full time

17′Marcus Reed
27′David Tufekcic
36′Marcus Reed
61′Sander Erik KartumEndre Osenbroch
65′Marcus Reed
66′Sander SvendsenGustav Ørsøe Christensen
67′Marcus ReedPaul Ngongo
67′Uba Charles NwokomaJakob Nyland Örsahl
69′David Tufekcic
76′Paul Ngongo
79′Endre Osenbroch
80′Wilfred George IgorMax Normann Williamsen
80′Julius Mar Juliusson Adrian Kurd Rønning
80′Isak Gabriel SkotheimStefano Vecchia
80′Zymer BytyqiJohn Kitolano
88′Mathias Christensen
90′John Kitolano

Kristiansund Stadion, KristiansandReferee: Mischa Kellerhals

Kristiansund BK 37%
Draw 24%
Aalesund 39%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 8
59 Possession % 41
4 Corners 8
9 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 2
3 Saves 2
384 Accurate passes 219

Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKristiansund BKDrawAalesund
Model31.7%18.5%49.9%
Market38.9%25.2%35.9%
Final37.1%23.5%39.4%
Edge-7.2%-6.8%+14.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Aalesund

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.83 vs 2.29.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Aalesund below the model: +14.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kristiansund B ↓ / Aalesund → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 4% 5% 5% 7% 2 4% 6% 6% 8% 3 5% 5% 6% 4+ 5% 4% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 99%
2+ goals 97%
3+ goals 89%
No goals 1%

Kristiansund BK and Aalesund expected goals

Kristiansund BK 2.29
Aalesund 2.83

Total expected goals: 5.12

Kristiansund BK and Aalesund attack and defence ratings

Kristiansund BK

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 1.32 +32%

Aalesund

Attack 1.57 +57%
Defence 1.36 +36%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund: result vs prediction

Kristiansund BK 1 – 4 Aalesund

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 24 fixtures

Eliteserien

Before and after this match

Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Aalesund 39.4% 2.54 +14.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 88.5% 1.13 — —
Both teams to score Yes 85.0% 1.18 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.5% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.0% 2.00 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kristiansund BK37.1%
Draw23.5%
Aalesund39.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.588.5%
Under 2.511.5%
Both teams to scoreYes85.0%
No15.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)60.6%
12 (either side)76.5%
X2 (draw or away)62.9%
Handicap -1Aalesund win32.8%
Push (exactly one goal)17.2%
Loss50.0%
Correct score (top 3)2-26.3%
2-35.9%
1-25.5%

Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund stats

Kristiansund BK and Aalesund recent form

newest first
Kristiansund BK LLWLWD
Aalesund LWWLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Kristiansund BK and Aalesund going into this match

league record before kick-off

Kristiansund BK record

  • They have won 5 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 22 matches.
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Aalesund record

  • They have won 4 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Kristiansund BK wins 2Draws 5Aalesund wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-27Kristiansund BKAalesundFriendlies Clubs0-3
2026-04-26AalesundKristiansund BKEliteserien1-1
2026-01-30AalesundKristiansund BKFriendlies Clubs1-0
2025-03-23Kristiansund BKAalesundFriendlies Clubs2-1
2024-03-24Kristiansund BKAalesundFriendlies Clubs1-1
2024-02-16AalesundKristiansund BKFriendlies Clubs1-3
2023-04-02AalesundKristiansund BKFriendlies Clubs1-0
2022-10-30Kristiansund BKAalesundEliteserien4-0
2022-04-03AalesundKristiansund BKEliteserien1-0
2021-05-02Kristiansund BKAalesundFriendlies Clubs0-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.2%, draw 25.2%, away 35.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.48 3.78 2.64
Bet365 2.35 3.70 2.55
BetVictor 2.38 3.60 2.50
Betano 2.37 3.70 2.65
Betfair 2.38 3.80 2.63
Dafabet 2.39 3.80 2.70
Marathonbet 2.41 3.68 2.57
Pinnacle 2.47 3.88 2.70
SBO 2.24 3.32 2.48
William Hill 2.30 3.50 2.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.40 —
X 3.69 ▼ -0.06
2 2.59 ▼ -0.04

11 snapshots recorded, from .