Elverum vs Ull/Kisa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Elverum vs Ull/Kisa
| Probability | Elverum | Draw | Ull/Kisa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.3% | 22.5% | 48.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 29.3% | 22.5% | 48.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Ull/Kisa
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.27 vs 1.61.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
91%
3+ goals
74%
No goals
3%
Elverum and Ull/Kisa expected goals
Elverum
1.61
Ull/Kisa
2.27
Total expected goals: 3.88
Elverum and Ull/Kisa attack and defence ratings
Elverum
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Ull/Kisa
Attack
0.83 -17%
Defence
0.99 -1%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Elverum vs Ull/Kisa: result vs prediction
Elverum 7 – 6 Ull/Kisa
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Elverum vs Ull/Kisa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ull/Kisa | 48.2% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Elverum | 29.3% |
| Draw | 22.5% | |
| Ull/Kisa | 48.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 27.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.7% |
| No | 28.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 51.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ull/Kisa win | 32.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 47.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.9% |
| 1-2 | 8.6% | |
| 2-2 | 7.0% |