NM Cupen
·
Full time
·Round 1
Lokomotiv Oslo
vs
Grorud
1 – 5 Full time
Lokomotiv Oslo
33%
Draw
25%
Grorud
42%
Lokomotiv Oslo vs Grorud overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lokomotiv Oslo vs Grorud
| Probability | Lokomotiv Oslo | Draw | Grorud |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.1% | 25.0% | 41.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 33.1% | 25.0% | 41.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Grorud
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 1.50.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
86%
3+ goals
65%
No goals
4%
Lokomotiv Oslo and Grorud expected goals
Lokomotiv Oslo
1.50
Grorud
1.86
Total expected goals: 3.36
Lokomotiv Oslo and Grorud attack and defence ratings
Lokomotiv Oslo
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Grorud
Attack
0.68 -32%
Defence
0.92 -8%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lokomotiv Oslo vs Grorud: result vs prediction
Lokomotiv Oslo 1 – 5 Grorud
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Lokomotiv Oslo vs Grorud markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Grorud | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.5% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lokomotiv Oslo | 33.1% |
| Draw | 25.0% | |
| Grorud | 41.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.7% |
| No | 34.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Grorud win | 25.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.8% | |
| Loss | 54.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.1% |
| 1-2 | 8.8% | |
| 2-1 | 7.7% |
Lokomotiv Oslo vs Grorud stats
Lokomotiv Oslo and Grorud recent form
| Lokomotiv Oslo |
no matches on record |
| Grorud |
LLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.