Garuda Lions
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NM Cupen · Full time ·Round of 64

Gamle Oslo vs Lyn

1 – 3 Full time

10′A. Hellum
20′A. Hellum
26′I. Lysfoss Lovlund
45′A. Memedov
Gamle Oslo 14%
Draw 17%
Lyn 69%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Gamle Oslo vs Lyn overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Gamle Oslo vs Lyn

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGamle OsloDrawLyn
Model11.3%14.1%74.5%
Market14.5%18.2%67.3%
Final13.7%17.2%69.1%
Edge-3.2%-4.0%+7.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Lyn

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.23 vs 1.31.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Lyn below the model: +7.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Gamle Oslo ↓ / Lyn → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 1 7% 8% 14% 2 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 95%
3+ goals 83%
No goals 2%

Gamle Oslo and Lyn expected goals

Gamle Oslo 1.31
Lyn 3.23

Total expected goals: 4.55

Gamle Oslo and Lyn attack and defence ratings

Gamle Oslo

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Lyn

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 0.79 -21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Gamle Oslo vs Lyn: result vs prediction

Gamle Oslo 1 – 3 Lyn

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 64 fixtures

NM Cupen

Before and after this match

Gamle Oslo vs Lyn markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Lyn 69.1% 1.45 +7.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 83.2% 1.20 — —
Both teams to score Yes 70.5% 1.42 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 86.3% 1.16 — —
Handicap -1 Lyn win 56.7% 1.76 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Gamle Oslo13.7%
Draw17.2%
Lyn69.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.583.2%
Under 2.516.8%
Both teams to scoreYes70.5%
No29.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)30.9%
12 (either side)82.8%
X2 (draw or away)86.3%
Handicap -1Lyn win56.7%
Push (exactly one goal)17.7%
Loss25.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-37.9%
1-27.3%
1-46.4%

Gamle Oslo vs Lyn stats

Gamle Oslo and Lyn recent form

newest first
Gamle Oslo WLW
Lyn WDDWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.

Gamle Oslo vs Lyn head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Gamle Oslo vs Lyn odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 14.5%, draw 18.2%, away 67.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 6.66 5.00 1.37
Bet365 6.50 5.00 1.30
BetVictor 7.00 5.25 1.33
Betano 5.90 5.20 1.38
Betfair 6.00 5.00 1.33
Marathonbet 6.60 5.00 1.36
Pinnacle 5.73 4.89 1.34
William Hill 5.80 4.40 1.40

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.