NM Cupen
·
Full time
·Round 1
Gamle Oslo
vs
Drøbak / Frogn
6 – 1 Full time
Gamle Oslo
19%
Draw
18%
Drøbak / Frogn
62%
Gamle Oslo vs Drøbak / Frogn overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gamle Oslo vs Drøbak / Frogn
| Probability | Gamle Oslo | Draw | Drøbak / Frogn |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 19.2% | 18.5% | 62.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 19.2% | 18.5% | 62.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Drøbak / Frogn
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.87 vs 1.48.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
94%
3+ goals
81%
No goals
2%
Gamle Oslo and Drøbak / Frogn expected goals
Gamle Oslo
1.48
Drøbak / Frogn
2.87
Total expected goals: 4.35
Gamle Oslo and Drøbak / Frogn attack and defence ratings
Gamle Oslo
Attack
0.91 -9%
Defence
1.05 +5%
Drøbak / Frogn
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Gamle Oslo vs Drøbak / Frogn: result vs prediction
Gamle Oslo 6 – 1 Drøbak / Frogn
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Gamle Oslo vs Drøbak / Frogn markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Drøbak / Frogn | 62.3% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.2% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Drøbak / Frogn win | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gamle Oslo | 19.2% |
| Draw | 18.5% | |
| Drøbak / Frogn | 62.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 20.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.3% |
| No | 26.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 37.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 80.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Drøbak / Frogn win | 46.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.0% | |
| Loss | 34.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 8.2% |
| 1-3 | 7.4% | |
| 1-1 | 6.6% |
Gamle Oslo vs Drøbak / Frogn stats
Gamle Oslo and Drøbak / Frogn recent form
| Gamle Oslo |
LW |
| Drøbak / Frogn |
no matches on record |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.