Nord vs Djerv overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nord vs Djerv
| Probability | Nord | Draw | Djerv |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.2% | 20.8% | 46.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 33.2% | 20.8% | 46.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Djerv
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.49 vs 1.94.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
94%
3+ goals
82%
No goals
2%
Nord and Djerv expected goals
Nord
1.94
Djerv
2.49
Total expected goals: 4.44
Nord and Djerv attack and defence ratings
Nord
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Djerv
Attack
0.91 -9%
Defence
1.19 +19%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Nord vs Djerv: result vs prediction
Nord 0 – 4 Djerv
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Nord vs Djerv markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Djerv | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 79.2% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nord | 33.2% |
| Draw | 20.8% | |
| Djerv | 46.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 19.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 78.7% |
| No | 21.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 53.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Djerv win | 31.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.3% | |
| Loss | 50.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 7.1% |
| 2-2 | 7.1% | |
| 1-1 | 6.7% |