Froland vs Arendal overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Froland vs Arendal
| Probability | Froland | Draw | Arendal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.8% | 19.1% | 57.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 23.8% | 19.1% | 57.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Arendal
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.83 vs 1.70.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
95%
3+ goals
83%
No goals
2%
Froland and Arendal expected goals
Froland
1.70
Arendal
2.83
Total expected goals: 4.54
Froland and Arendal attack and defence ratings
Froland
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Arendal
Attack
1.04 +4%
Defence
1.05 +5%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Froland vs Arendal: result vs prediction
Froland 1 – 5 Arendal
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Froland vs Arendal markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Arendal | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Arendal win | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Froland | 23.8% |
| Draw | 19.1% | |
| Arendal | 57.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 18.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77.4% |
| No | 22.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 42.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Arendal win | 42.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.8% | |
| Loss | 39.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 7.5% |
| 1-3 | 6.7% | |
| 2-2 | 6.6% |