Garuda Lions
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NM Cupen · Full time ·Round 1

Frigg vs Kjelsås

0 – 4 Full time

Frogner stadion, Oslo

Frigg 20%
Draw 19%
Kjelsås 61%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Frigg vs Kjelsås overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Frigg vs Kjelsås

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFriggDrawKjelsås
Model20.3%18.7%61.0%
Market———
Final20.3%18.7%61.0%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Kjelsås

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.24 vs 1.39.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Frigg ↓ / Kjelsås → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 1 7% 8% 14% 2 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 99%
2+ goals 95%
3+ goals 84%
No goals 1%

Frigg and Kjelsås expected goals

Frigg 1.39
Kjelsås 3.24

Total expected goals: 4.62

Frigg and Kjelsås attack and defence ratings

Frigg

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Kjelsås

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Frigg vs Kjelsås: result vs prediction

Frigg 0 – 4 Kjelsås

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round 1 fixtures

NM Cupen

Before and after this match

Frigg vs Kjelsås markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kjelsås 61.0% 1.64 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 79.8% 1.25 — —
Both teams to score Yes 74.4% 1.34 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 81.3% 1.23 — —
Handicap -1 Kjelsås win 55.3% 1.81 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Frigg20.3%
Draw18.7%
Kjelsås61.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.579.8%
Under 2.520.2%
Both teams to scoreYes74.4%
No25.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)39.0%
12 (either side)81.3%
X2 (draw or away)79.7%
Handicap -1Kjelsås win55.3%
Push (exactly one goal)17.7%
Loss27.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-28.0%
1-37.2%
1-16.5%

Frigg vs Kjelsås stats

Frigg and Kjelsås recent form

newest first
Frigg no matches on record
Kjelsås DWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.

Frigg vs Kjelsås head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Frigg vs Kjelsås odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.