Egersund
vs
hodd
Garuda Lions Prediction: Egersund
2 – 1 Predicted score · 6% model probability
Egersund vs hodd overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Egersund vs hodd
| Probability | Egersund | Draw | hodd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.7% | 20.6% | 41.8% |
| Market | 54.8% | 22.3% | 22.9% |
| Final | 50.5% | 21.9% | 27.6% |
| Edge | -17.1% | -1.7% | +18.9% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.72, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Egersund vs hodd match preview
Egersund faces Hodd in the Norway 1. Division with Egersund holding a slight edge in the 1X2 probabilities at 51%, compared to Hodd's 27% and a 22% chance of a draw. The match is expected to be competitive, with both teams showing a propensity for goals; the likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 82%, while both teams scoring is projected at 80%.
Recent form indicates Egersund has struggled, recording two losses and three draws in their last five matches, while Hodd has seen a mix of results with two losses, one win, one draw, and one win in their last five. Historically, Hodd has had the upper hand in their last three encounters, winning twice and drawing once against Egersund. The expected goals for the match are 2.18 for Egersund and 2.29 for Hodd.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Egersund and hodd expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.48
Egersund and hodd attack and defence ratings
Egersund
hodd
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
Before and after this match
Egersund vs hodd markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Egersund | 50.5% | 1.98 | -17.1% | 1.72 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.3% | 1.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Egersund | 50.5% |
| Draw | 21.9% | |
| hodd | 27.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 17.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 80.4% |
| No | 19.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Egersund win | 21.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.1% | |
| Loss | 62.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-2 | 7.1% |
| 1-2 | 6.5% | |
| 1-1 | 6.3% |
Egersund vs hodd stats
Egersund and hodd recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Egersund and hodd season so far
Egersund record
- They have won 8 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
hodd record
- They have won 10 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Egersund vs hodd head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | hodd | Egersund | Norway 1. Division | 3-1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Egersund | hodd | Norway 1. Division | 0-0 |
| 2025-07-30 | hodd | Egersund | Norway 1. Division | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Egersund vs hodd odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.8%, draw 22.3%, away 22.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.67 | 4.20 | 4.14 |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 4.10 | 4.10 |
| Betano | 1.70 | 4.10 | 4.00 |
| Betfair | 1.65 | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.72 | 4.10 | 3.95 |
| Marathonbet | 1.65 | 4.20 | 4.15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.70 | 4.25 | 4.11 |
| SBO | 1.63 | 3.74 | 3.74 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.80 | 3.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .