NM Cupen · Full time ·Round of 32

ODD Ballklubb vs Sandefjord

3 – 1 Full time

18′G. Ambrose
25′G. Simenstad
29′V. Rasmussen
51′F. Tewelde
53′G. SimenstadS. Aas
62′S. MorkE. Pettersen
62′H. KrogelienG. Hojbjerg
62′E. PatoulidisJ. Dunsby
64′N. KojoD. Soderberg
64′S. BojadzicO. Skau
64′J. VadstrupZ. Mugeese
73′S. MathisenO. Kapskarmo
73′V. EgeliF. Pedersen
74′G. Ambrose
78′D. Soderberg
84′K. AndersenC. Glenna
86′B. Berntsen

Skagerak Arena, SkienReferee: O. Nilsen

ODD Ballklubb 32%
Draw 25%
Sandefjord 43%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

ODD Ballklubb vs Sandefjord overview

Garuda Lions analysis: ODD Ballklubb vs Sandefjord

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityODD BallklubbDrawSandefjord
Model13.9%22.9%63.2%
Market38.1%26.0%35.9%
Final32.1%25.2%42.7%
Edge-6.0%-0.8%+6.8%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Sandefjord

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.97 vs 0.82.
  • The market prices Sandefjord below our published probability: +6.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

ODD Ballklubb ↓ / Sandefjord → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 11% 12% 8% 6% 1 11% 10% 6% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 53%
No goals 7%

ODD Ballklubb and Sandefjord expected goals

ODD Ballklubb 0.82
Sandefjord 1.97

Total expected goals: 2.79

ODD Ballklubb and Sandefjord attack and defence ratings

ODD Ballklubb

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 0.77 -23%

Sandefjord

Attack 0.79 -21%
Defence 0.61 -39%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

ODD Ballklubb vs Sandefjord: result vs prediction

ODD Ballklubb 3 – 1 Sandefjord

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 32 fixtures

NM Cupen

Before and after this match

ODD Ballklubb vs Sandefjord markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sandefjord 42.7% 2.34 +6.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 52.8% 1.89 — —
Both teams to score No 50.8% 1.97 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.8% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Sandefjord win 39.3% 2.54 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2ODD Ballklubb32.1%
Draw25.2%
Sandefjord42.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552.8%
Under 2.547.2%
Both teams to scoreYes49.2%
No50.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)57.3%
12 (either side)74.8%
X2 (draw or away)67.9%
Handicap -1Sandefjord win39.3%
Push (exactly one goal)23.9%
Loss36.8%
Correct score (top 3)0-211.9%
0-111.1%
1-110.9%

ODD Ballklubb vs Sandefjord stats

ODD Ballklubb and Sandefjord recent form

newest first
ODD Ballklubb LLWWWW
Sandefjord LLDWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

ODD Ballklubb vs Sandefjord head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3ODD Ballklubb wins 1Draws 6Sandefjord wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-03-23ODD BallklubbSandefjordFriendlies Clubs0-2
2024-11-10SandefjordODD BallklubbEliteserien1-0
2024-04-14ODD BallklubbSandefjordEliteserien2-2
2024-03-24ODD BallklubbSandefjordFriendlies Clubs0-2
2023-09-03ODD BallklubbSandefjordEliteserien3-2
2023-06-04SandefjordODD BallklubbEliteserien4-1
2023-03-24ODD BallklubbSandefjordFriendlies Clubs2-1
2023-03-12SandefjordODD BallklubbNM Cupen4-1
2022-09-10SandefjordODD BallklubbEliteserien1-3
2022-05-25ODD BallklubbSandefjordEliteserien0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

ODD Ballklubb vs Sandefjord odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 38.1%, draw 26.0%, away 35.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.40 3.50 2.61
Bet365 2.40 3.50 2.45
BetVictor 2.40 3.60 2.55
Betano 2.45 3.60 2.55
Betfair 2.30 3.60 2.50
Dafabet 2.49 3.60 2.55
Marathonbet 2.40 3.50 2.61
Pinnacle 2.40 3.53 2.56
SBO 2.37 3.26 2.37
William Hill 2.40 3.25 2.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.40 ▲ +0.20
X 3.51 ▼ -0.03
2 2.55 ▼ -0.31

4 snapshots recorded, from .