Start
vs
Sandefjord
Garuda Lions Prediction: Start
2 – 1 Predicted score · 6% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Start is the favourite, not a value bet.
Start vs Sandefjord overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Start vs Sandefjord
| Probability | Start | Draw | Sandefjord |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.8% | 22.1% | 52.1% |
| Market | 42.5% | 25.3% | 32.2% |
| Final | 38.3% | 24.5% | 37.2% |
| Edge | -4.2% | -0.8% | +5.0% |
Why Start
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.25, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -13.8% per unit staked (our 38.3% × 2.25 − 1).
Start vs Sandefjord match preview
Start faces Sandefjord in an upcoming Eliteserien match with Start holding a 40% probability of winning, while Sandefjord has a 36% chance. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Start, with a 6% likelihood. Both teams are expected to contribute to a high-scoring game, as our model indicates a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% probability that both teams will score.
In terms of recent form, Start has recorded two wins and three losses in their last six matches, while Sandefjord has a mixed record with two wins, two draws, and two losses. Historically, in their last ten encounters, Start has secured one win, Sandefjord five wins, and there have been four draws. The expected goals for Start stand at 1.53, while Sandefjord is projected at 2.19.
Start and Sandefjord team news
Start news
- E. Segberg — yellow cards
- F. Manojlovic — hand injury
- J. Husebo — foot injury
- K. Tonnesen — leg injury
Sandefjord news
- D. Koswal — knee injury
- E. Hadaya — injury
- F. Loftesnes-Bjune — thigh injury
- M. Melchior — knee injury
- N. Moller — ankle injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Start and Sandefjord expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.73
Start and Sandefjord attack and defence ratings
Start
Sandefjord
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Start vs Sandefjord markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Start | 38.3% | 2.61 | -4.2% | 2.25 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Start | 38.3% |
| Draw | 24.5% | |
| Sandefjord | 37.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.4% |
| No | 29.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Start win | 12.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 13.7% | |
| Loss | 74.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.9% |
| 1-2 | 8.9% | |
| 2-2 | 6.8% |
Start vs Sandefjord stats
Start and Sandefjord recent form
| Start |
LLWLWW |
| Sandefjord |
LDWWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Start and Sandefjord season so far
Start record
- They have won 4 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 23 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sandefjord record
- They have won 6 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 23 matches.
Start vs Sandefjord head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Sandefjord | Start | Eliteserien | 3-0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Sandefjord | Start | Friendlies Clubs | 3-2 |
| 2023-03-05 | Start | Sandefjord | Friendlies Clubs | 1-0 |
| 2021-05-02 | Start | Sandefjord | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
| 2020-10-24 | Start | Sandefjord | Eliteserien | 0-1 |
| 2020-06-21 | Sandefjord | Start | Eliteserien | 2-2 |
| 2019-08-09 | Sandefjord | Start | 1. Division | 0-0 |
| 2019-04-27 | Start | Sandefjord | 1. Division | 2-2 |
| 2018-11-04 | Sandefjord | Start | Eliteserien | 4-1 |
| 2018-04-02 | Start | Sandefjord | Eliteserien | 1-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Start vs Sandefjord odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.7%, draw 25.2%, away 32.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.22 | 3.84 | 2.98 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.70 | 2.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.50 | 2.90 |
| Betano | 2.20 | 3.75 | 2.85 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.70 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.22 | 3.70 | 3.05 |
| Marathonbet | 2.16 | 3.74 | 2.90 |
| Pinnacle | 2.25 | 4.02 | 2.95 |
| SBO | 2.09 | 3.13 | 2.82 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.70 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .