Tromso
vs
Bodo/Glimt
Garuda Lions Prediction: Bodo/Glimt
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.13 vs 1.56.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Bodo/Glimt is the favourite, not a value bet.
Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt
| Probability | Tromso | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.4% | 22.5% | 50.1% |
| Market | 12.9% | 17.8% | 69.3% |
| Final | 16.6% | 19.0% | 64.5% |
| Edge | +3.6% | +1.2% | -4.8% |
Why Bodo/Glimt
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.13 vs 1.56.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.36, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -12.3% per unit staked (our 64.5% × 1.36 − 1).
Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt match preview
Tromso faces Bodo/Glimt in an Eliteserien matchup with both teams showing competitive recent form. Tromso has recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches, while Bodo/Glimt has been more consistent with four wins and two losses in the same period. The probabilities suggest a close contest, with Bodo/Glimt slightly favored at 42%, compared to Tromso's 37% and a 22% chance of a draw.
The expected goals indicate a potentially high-scoring match, with Tromso projected at 1.97 and Bodo/Glimt at 2.10. Both teams are likely to find the net, as indicated by the 76% probability for both teams to score. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-2, reflecting the competitive nature of this fixture.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Tromso and Bodo/Glimt expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.69
Tromso and Bodo/Glimt attack and defence ratings
Tromso
Bodo/Glimt
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
Before and after this match
Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bodo/Glimt | 64.5% | 1.55 | -4.8% | 1.36 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 83.4% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.9% | 2.01 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tromso | 16.6% |
| Draw | 19.0% | |
| Bodo/Glimt | 64.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.4% |
| No | 29.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 35.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 83.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bodo/Glimt win | 30.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.8% | |
| Loss | 49.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.1% |
| 1-2 | 8.8% | |
| 2-2 | 6.9% |
Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt stats
Tromso and Bodo/Glimt recent form
| Tromso |
LWLDDW |
| Bodo/Glimt |
DWLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tromso and Bodo/Glimt season so far
Tromso record
- They have won 11 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Bodo/Glimt record
- They have won 18 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 9 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Bodo/Glimt | Tromso | Eliteserien | 5-0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Bodo/Glimt | Tromso | Eliteserien | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-16 | Tromso | Bodo/Glimt | Eliteserien | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 12.9%, draw 17.8%, away 69.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 7.60 | 5.47 | 1.36 |
| Bet365 | 7.00 | 5.00 | 1.36 |
| BetVictor | 7.50 | 5.25 | 1.30 |
| Betano | 7.30 | 5.00 | 1.36 |
| Betfair | 7.00 | 5.50 | 1.33 |
| Dafabet | 7.20 | 5.60 | 1.36 |
| Marathonbet | 7.40 | 5.30 | 1.33 |
| Pinnacle | 7.72 | 5.49 | 1.35 |
| SBO | 5.90 | 4.73 | 1.31 |
| William Hill | 6.50 | 4.80 | 1.36 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .