Shakhtar Donetsk
vs
Sporting CP
0 – 1 Full time
| 59′ | Issa Doumbia | ||
| 66′ | Maximiliano Araujo | ||
| 67′ | Gleiker MendozaNewerton | ||
| 67′ | Egor NazarynaIsaque | ||
| 70′ | Fotis IoannidisRodrigo Zalazar | ||
| 74′ | Isaque | ||
| 83′ | Geny CatamoIván Fresneda | ||
| 83′ | Marlon GomesLassina Traore | ||
| 88′ | Maximiliano AraujoSalvador Blopa | ||
| 88′ | Issa DoumbiaJoão Simões | ||
| 90′ | AlissonLuca Meirelles | ||
| 90′ | Mykola MatvienkoLucas Ferreira |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 381 | Accurate passes | 318 |
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP
| Probability | Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Sporting CP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.3% | 28.2% | 18.5% |
| Market | 27.8% | 25.5% | 46.7% |
| Final | 34.2% | 26.2% | 39.7% |
| Edge | +6.4% | +0.7% | -7.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Shakhtar Donetsk and Sporting CP expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.34
Shakhtar Donetsk and Sporting CP attack and defence ratings
Shakhtar Donetsk
Sporting CP
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP: result vs prediction
Shakhtar Donetsk 0 – 1 Sporting CP
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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Before and after this match
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting CP | 39.7% | 2.52 | -7.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.8% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 34.2% |
| Draw | 26.2% | |
| Sporting CP | 39.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.5% |
| No | 55.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sporting CP win | 6.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 12.5% | |
| Loss | 81.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 13.6% |
| 1-1 | 13.1% | |
| 2-0 | 11.3% |
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP stats
Shakhtar Donetsk and Sporting CP recent form
| Shakhtar Donetsk |
WDLWWW |
| Sporting CP |
WLLWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 27.8%, draw 25.5%, away 46.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.64 | 3.86 | 2.08 |
| Bet365 | 3.40 | 3.60 | 2.05 |
| BetVictor | 3.40 | 3.70 | 2.05 |
| Betano | 3.50 | 3.85 | 2.10 |
| Betfair | 3.40 | 3.75 | 2.05 |
| Dafabet | 3.70 | 3.80 | 1.98 |
| Marathonbet | 3.54 | 3.76 | 2.02 |
| Pinnacle | 3.55 | 3.81 | 2.08 |
| SBO | 3.24 | 3.37 | 1.99 |
| William Hill | 3.30 | 3.50 | 2.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .