WSPG Wels
vs
Sturm Graz II
Garuda Lions Prediction: WSPG Wels
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — WSPG Wels is the favourite, not a value bet.
WSPG Wels vs Sturm Graz II overview
Garuda Lions analysis: WSPG Wels vs Sturm Graz II
| Probability | WSPG Wels | Draw | Sturm Graz II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.8% | 24.1% | 37.1% |
| Market | 42.4% | 24.9% | 32.7% |
| Final | 41.5% | 24.7% | 33.8% |
| Edge | -0.9% | -0.2% | +1.1% |
Why WSPG Wels
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.27, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -5.8% per unit staked (our 41.5% × 2.27 − 1).
WSPG Wels vs Sturm Graz II match preview
WSPG Wels will face Sturm Graz II in a 2. Liga match on November 7, 2026. According to our model, WSPG Wels has a 45% probability of winning, while Sturm Graz II stands at 31%. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 2-1 in favor of WSPG Wels, with an expected goals tally of 1.97 for WSPG Wels and 1.63 for Sturm Graz II.
Both teams have shown a tendency to score, with our model indicating a 70% chance for over 2.5 goals and for both teams to score. In recent form, WSPG Wels has recorded two wins in their last six matches, while Sturm Graz II has struggled with three losses in their last six. In their last two encounters, WSPG Wels has emerged victorious on both occasions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
WSPG Wels and Sturm Graz II expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.51
WSPG Wels and Sturm Graz II attack and defence ratings
WSPG Wels
Sturm Graz II
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
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- Admira Wacker vs SKN ST. Polten
- Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Rapid Wien II — team news & stats
- FC BW Linz v Floridsdorfer AC — match page
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Before and after this match
WSPG Wels vs Sturm Graz II markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | WSPG Wels | 41.5% | 2.41 | -0.9% | 2.27 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | WSPG Wels | 41.5% |
| Draw | 24.7% | |
| Sturm Graz II | 33.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.4% |
| No | 30.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | WSPG Wels win | 20.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.0% | |
| Loss | 61.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.1% |
| 2-1 | 8.2% | |
| 1-2 | 8.0% |
WSPG Wels vs Sturm Graz II stats
WSPG Wels and Sturm Graz II recent form
| WSPG Wels |
LWLDWL |
| Sturm Graz II |
WLLLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
WSPG Wels and Sturm Graz II season so far
WSPG Wels record
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sturm Graz II record
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
WSPG Wels vs Sturm Graz II head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 | WSPG Wels | Sturm Graz II | 2. Liga | 2-0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Sturm Graz II | WSPG Wels | 2. Liga | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
WSPG Wels vs Sturm Graz II odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.4%, draw 24.9%, away 32.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.17 | 3.85 | 2.82 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.70 | 2.62 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.70 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.27 | 3.50 | 2.82 |
| Dafabet | 2.19 | 3.80 | 2.85 |
| Marathonbet | 2.15 | 3.85 | 2.81 |
| Pinnacle | 2.19 | 3.94 | 2.85 |
| SBO | 2.11 | 3.36 | 2.64 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.60 | 2.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .