2. Liga Β· Β·Matchday 12

Austria Vienna (Am) vs First Vienna

Garuda Lions Prediction: Austria Vienna (Am)

2 – 1 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 1.51.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Generali Arena, ViennaReferee: P. Gadler

Austria Vienna (Am) 46%
Draw 24%
First Vienna 30%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Austria Vienna (Am) wins
46%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
96%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
67%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
9% of simulated outcomes

Austria Vienna (Am) vs First Vienna overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Austria Vienna (Am) vs First Vienna

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAustria Vienna (Am)DrawFirst Vienna
Model46.2%24.0%29.7%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final46.2%24.0%29.7%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Austria Vienna (Am)

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 1.51.

Austria Vienna (Am) vs First Vienna match preview

Austria Vienna (Am) hosts First Vienna in a matchup where the probabilities suggest a competitive encounter. According to our model, Austria Vienna (Am) has a 46% chance of winning, while First Vienna stands at 30%, and a draw is estimated at 24%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Austria Vienna (Am), with an expected goals tally of 1.91 for them compared to 1.51 for First Vienna.

Both teams show a tendency for high-scoring games, with a 66% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. Recent form indicates Austria Vienna (Am) has won four of their last six matches, while First Vienna has also been strong, winning four of their last six. The head-to-head record is balanced, with each team securing three wins in their last nine encounters.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Austria Vienna ↓ / First Vienna β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 10% 7% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 66%
No goals 4%

Austria Vienna (Am) and First Vienna expected goals

Austria Vienna (Am) 1.91
First Vienna 1.51

Total expected goals: 3.42

Austria Vienna (Am) and First Vienna attack and defence ratings

Austria Vienna (Am)

Attack 1.14 +14%
Defence 0.99 -1%

First Vienna

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

2. Liga

Before and after this match

Austria Vienna (Am) vs First Vienna markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Austria Vienna (Am) 46.2% 2.16 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 66.4% 1.51 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 67.3% 1.49 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.0% 1.32 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 53.8% 1.86 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Austria Vienna (Am)46.2%
Draw24.0%
First Vienna29.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.566.4%
Under 2.533.6%
Both teams to scoreYes67.3%
No32.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.3%
12 (either side)76.0%
X2 (draw or away)53.8%
Handicap -1Austria Vienna (Am) win26.4%
Push (exactly one goal)19.9%
Loss53.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.4%
2-19.0%
1-27.1%

Austria Vienna (Am) vs First Vienna stats

Austria Vienna (Am) and First Vienna recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Austria Vienna (Am) and First Vienna season so far

league record

Austria Vienna (Am) record

  • They have won 7 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

First Vienna record

  • They have won 8 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.

Austria Vienna (Am) vs First Vienna head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

3Austria Vienna (Am) wins 3Draws 3First Vienna wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-15First ViennaAustria Vienna (Am)2. Liga0-2
2025-09-13Austria Vienna (Am)First Vienna2. Liga1-1
2023-03-03Austria Vienna (Am)First Vienna2. Liga0-2
2022-10-16First ViennaAustria Vienna (Am)2. Liga0-1
2017-10-13Austria Vienna (Am)First ViennaRegionalliga - Ost2-0
2017-05-19Austria Vienna (Am)First ViennaRegionalliga - Ost0-2
2016-10-28First ViennaAustria Vienna (Am)Regionalliga - Ost1-1
2016-03-11First ViennaAustria Vienna (Am)Regionalliga - Ost2-1
2015-08-14Austria Vienna (Am)First ViennaRegionalliga - Ost0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Austria Vienna (Am) vs First Vienna odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Austria Vienna (Am) Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
v Bet Now