Garuda Lions
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2. Liga · ·Matchday 12

Admira Wacker vs SKN ST. Polten

Garuda Lions Prediction: SKN ST. Polten

0 – 1 Predicted score · 11% model probability

  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — SKN ST. Polten is the favourite, not a value bet.
Bet on SKN ST. Polten

Referee: C. Demir

Admira Wacker 35%
Draw 27%
SKN ST. Polten 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance SKN ST. Polten wins
38%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
84%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
39%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 1
11% of simulated outcomes

Admira Wacker vs SKN ST. Polten overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Admira Wacker vs SKN ST. Polten

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAdmira WackerDrawSKN ST. Polten
Model38.3%34.2%27.5%
Market33.9%24.8%41.4%
Final35.0%27.1%37.9%
Edge+1.1%+2.4%-3.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Best available price on the pick: 2.30, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -12.8% per unit staked (our 37.9% × 2.30 − 1).

Admira Wacker vs SKN ST. Polten match preview

Admira Wacker faces SKN ST. Polten in a matchup where the probabilities indicate a competitive encounter. Admira Wacker has a 35% chance of winning, while SKN ST. Polten is slightly favored at 38%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 0-1, with an expected goals tally of 1.05 for Admira Wacker and 0.85 for SKN ST. Polten. Recent form shows Admira Wacker with mixed results, having won three of their last six matches, while SKN ST. Polten has been more consistent, securing four wins in their last six outings.

The likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 30%, and both teams to score is estimated at 39%. In their last ten encounters, Admira Wacker has dominated with six wins compared to SKN ST. Polten's single victory, highlighting a historical advantage for the home side. With a confidence grade of C, this match promises to be closely contested.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Admira Wacker ↓ / SKN ST. Polten → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 16% 11% 1 14% 15% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 84%
2+ goals 58%
3+ goals 30%
No goals 16%

Admira Wacker and SKN ST. Polten expected goals

Admira Wacker 1.05
SKN ST. Polten 0.85

Total expected goals: 1.91

Admira Wacker and SKN ST. Polten attack and defence ratings

Admira Wacker

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 0.79 -21%

SKN ST. Polten

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

2. Liga

Before and after this match

Admira Wacker vs SKN ST. Polten markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 SKN ST. Polten 37.9% 2.64 -3.5% 2.30
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 70.2% 1.42 — —
Both teams to score No 61.3% 1.63 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.9% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 72.5% 1.38 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Admira Wacker35.0%
Draw27.1%
SKN ST. Polten37.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.529.8%
Under 2.570.2%
Both teams to scoreYes38.7%
No61.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)62.1%
12 (either side)72.9%
X2 (draw or away)65.0%
Handicap -1SKN ST. Polten win9.6%
Push (exactly one goal)17.9%
Loss72.5%
Correct score (top 3)0-016.2%
1-114.7%
1-014.3%
Compare prices for this pick

Admira Wacker vs SKN ST. Polten stats

Admira Wacker and SKN ST. Polten recent form

newest first
Admira Wacker LWWWLW
SKN ST. Polten WDDLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Admira Wacker and SKN ST. Polten season so far

league record

Admira Wacker record

  • They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

SKN ST. Polten record

  • They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Admira Wacker vs SKN ST. Polten head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Admira Wacker wins 3Draws 1SKN ST. Polten wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-02SKN ST. PoltenAdmira Wacker2. Liga0-0
2025-11-07Admira WackerSKN ST. Polten2. Liga2-1
2025-03-28Admira WackerSKN ST. Polten2. Liga1-1
2024-10-01SKN ST. PoltenAdmira Wacker2. Liga0-1
2024-04-12SKN ST. PoltenAdmira Wacker2. Liga0-3
2023-09-22Admira WackerSKN ST. Polten2. Liga2-2
2023-04-21SKN ST. PoltenAdmira Wacker2. Liga2-0
2022-08-26Admira WackerSKN ST. Polten2. Liga1-0
2021-05-08Admira WackerSKN ST. PoltenBundesliga2-0
2021-04-03SKN ST. PoltenAdmira WackerBundesliga0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Admira Wacker vs SKN ST. Polten odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 33.9%, draw 24.8%, away 41.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.75 3.72 2.24
Bet365 2.62 3.80 2.20
BetVictor 2.70 3.70 2.25
Betano 2.72 3.75 2.22
Betfair 2.63 3.60 2.20
Dafabet 2.75 3.70 2.30
Marathonbet 2.73 3.72 2.22
Pinnacle 2.81 3.95 2.29
SBO 2.62 3.44 2.18
William Hill 2.62 3.50 2.20
Find the best place to bet

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.71 ▲ +0.01
X 3.71 ▲ +0.17
2 2.22 ▼ -0.05

8 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 2 SKN ST. Polten Predicted score 0 – 1 Low Bet Now
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