2. Liga · 2026-10-31T16:00:00Z UTC ·Matchday 11

First Vienna vs FC BW Linz

Garuda Lions Prediction: FC BW Linz

1 – 2 Predicted score · 7% model probability

RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — FC BW Linz is the favourite, not a value bet.

Bet on FC BW Linz

Hohe Warte Stadium, Vienna

First Vienna

35%

Draw

29%

FC BW Linz

36%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Chance FC BW Linz wins

36%

most likely outcome

Chance of a goal

93%

at least one goal in the match

Both teams score

56%

goals at both ends

Most likely score with our pick

1 – 2

7% of simulated outcomes

First Vienna vs FC BW Linz overview

Garuda Lions analysis: First Vienna vs FC BW Linz

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	First Vienna	Draw	FC BW Linz
Model	46.4%	27.0%	26.6%
Market	31.6%	29.7%	38.6%
Final	35.3%	29.0%	35.6%
Edge	+3.7%	-0.7%	-3.0%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Best available price on the pick: 2.47, recorded 2026-10-26 — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -12.0% per unit staked (our 35.6% × 2.47 − 1).

First Vienna vs FC BW Linz match preview

First Vienna faces FC BW Linz in a 2. Liga clash, with probabilities indicating a close contest. First Vienna has a 35% chance of winning, while FC BW Linz holds a slight edge at 36%. The most likely scoreline projected by our model is 1-2, occurring at a rate of 7%. Both teams have shown strong recent form, with First Vienna winning their last six matches and FC BW Linz winning four of their last six, including one draw.

In terms of expected goals, First Vienna is forecasted to score 1.61, while FC BW Linz is predicted to net 1.17. Additionally, there is a 53% likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match, and both teams are expected to score 56% of the time. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

93%

2+ goals

78%

3+ goals

53%

No goals

First Vienna and FC BW Linz expected goals

First Vienna

1.61

FC BW Linz

1.17

Total expected goals: 2.79

First Vienna and FC BW Linz attack and defence ratings

First Vienna

Attack

1.41 +41%

Defence

0.62 -38%

FC BW Linz

Attack

1.48 +48%

Defence

0.76 -24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

2. Liga

SKN ST. Polten v WSPG Wels — match page · 2026-10-30
Austria Salzburg vs SKU Amstetten — team news & stats · 2026-10-30
Wacker Innsbruck vs Austria Vienna (Am) · 2026-10-31
Floridsdorfer AC v SV Kapfenberg — match page · 2026-10-31
Rapid Wien II vs FC Liefering · 2026-10-31
Sturm Graz II v Voitsberg — match page · 2026-10-31
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Admira Wacker — team news & stats · 2026-10-31

Before and after this match

First Vienna, previous: First Vienna vs Rapid Vienna prediction
FC BW Linz, previous: Austria Salzburg vs FC BW Linz: odds and pick

First Vienna vs FC BW Linz markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	FC BW Linz	35.6%	2.81	-3.0%	2.47
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	52.7%	1.90	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	56.5%	1.77	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	71.0%	1.41	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	73.4%	1.36	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	First Vienna	35.3%
	Draw	29.0%
	FC BW Linz	35.6%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	52.7%
	Under 2.5	47.3%
Both teams to score	Yes	56.5%
	No	43.5%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	64.4%
	12 (either side)	71.0%
	X2 (draw or away)	64.7%
Handicap -1	FC BW Linz win	11.2%
	Push (exactly one goal)	15.4%
	Loss	73.4%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	12.8%
	2-1	9.4%
	1-0	8.8%

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First Vienna vs FC BW Linz stats

First Vienna and FC BW Linz recent form

newest first

First Vienna	WWWWWW
FC BW Linz	WWDWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

First Vienna and FC BW Linz season so far

league record

First Vienna record

They have won 7 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.

FC BW Linz record

They have won 7 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.
They average 3.8 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

First Vienna vs FC BW Linz head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

First Vienna vs FC BW Linz odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 31.6%, draw 29.7%, away 38.6%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.93	3.12	2.40
Betano	2.95	2.95	2.47
Marathonbet	2.90	3.12	2.38
Pinnacle	3.01	3.06	2.46
William Hill	2.60	3.25	2.38

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Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.

Prediction snapshot 2 FC BW Linz Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now