Sturm Graz II
vs
Voitsberg
Garuda Lions Prediction: Voitsberg
1 – 2 Predicted score · 7% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.65 vs 1.96.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Sturm Graz II vs Voitsberg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sturm Graz II vs Voitsberg
| Probability | Sturm Graz II | Draw | Voitsberg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.1% | 19.4% | 52.6% |
| Market | 35.3% | 24.9% | 39.9% |
| Final | 33.5% | 23.5% | 43.0% |
| Edge | -1.8% | -1.4% | +3.2% |
Why Voitsberg
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.65 vs 1.96.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Voitsberg below our published probability: +3.2 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.34, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +0.7% per unit staked (our 43.0% × 2.34 − 1).
Sturm Graz II vs Voitsberg match preview
Sturm Graz II faces Voitsberg in a 2. Liga matchup on October 31, 2026. According to our model, Voitsberg holds a 53% probability of winning, while Sturm Graz II has a 28% chance. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, with expected goals of 1.96 for Sturm Graz II and 2.65 for Voitsberg. Recent form shows Sturm Graz II struggling with three consecutive losses, while Voitsberg has a mixed record with two wins in their last six matches.
The model suggests a high likelihood of goals, with an 84% chance of over 2.5 goals and an 80% probability that both teams will score. The confidence grade for this prediction is C, indicating moderate certainty in the outcome.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sturm Graz II and Voitsberg expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.61
Sturm Graz II and Voitsberg attack and defence ratings
Sturm Graz II
Voitsberg
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- SKN ST. Polten v WSPG Wels — match page
- Austria Salzburg vs SKU Amstetten — team news & stats
- Wacker Innsbruck vs Austria Vienna (Am)
- Floridsdorfer AC v SV Kapfenberg — match page
- Rapid Wien II vs FC Liefering
- Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Admira Wacker — team news & stats
- First Vienna vs FC BW Linz — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Sturm Graz II vs Voitsberg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Voitsberg | 43.0% | 2.32 | +3.2% | 2.34 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sturm Graz II | 33.5% |
| Draw | 23.5% | |
| Voitsberg | 43.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 16.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 80.4% |
| No | 19.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Voitsberg win | 34.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.3% | |
| Loss | 47.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 6.9% |
| 2-2 | 6.7% | |
| 1-3 | 6.0% |
Sturm Graz II vs Voitsberg stats
Sturm Graz II and Voitsberg recent form
| Sturm Graz II |
LLLDDW |
| Voitsberg |
WLLWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sturm Graz II and Voitsberg season so far
Sturm Graz II record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Voitsberg record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
Sturm Graz II vs Voitsberg head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Sturm Graz II vs Voitsberg odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.3%, draw 24.9%, away 39.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.61 | 3.70 | 2.31 |
| Betano | 2.62 | 3.70 | 2.32 |
| Marathonbet | 2.61 | 3.70 | 2.31 |
| Pinnacle | 2.66 | 3.81 | 2.34 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.30 |