2. Liga
·
Full time
·Matchday 9
Wacker Innsbruck
vs
Austria Salzburg
0 – 1 Full time
| 28′ | A. Lechl | ||
| 36′ | S. Spitali | ||
| 52′ | C. Gebauer | ||
| 57′ | M. Rottensteiner | ||
| 59′ | R. Hofer | ||
| 60′ | L. GstreinB. Owusu | ||
| 64′ | T. CrnkicL. Kronberger | ||
| 66′ | D. FrancisR. Galle | ||
| 72′ | S. SpitaliN. Lukasser Weitlaner | ||
| 78′ | M. EvansM. Kochl | ||
| 78′ | R. LittigG. Biancheri | ||
| 78′ | A. LechlA. Wibowo | ||
| 78′ | M. RottensteinerC. Gruber |
Wacker Innsbruck
43%
Draw
26%
Austria Salzburg
31%
Wacker Innsbruck vs Austria Salzburg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Wacker Innsbruck vs Austria Salzburg
| Probability | Wacker Innsbruck | Draw | Austria Salzburg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.8% | 23.9% | 26.3% |
| Market | 40.5% | 27.1% | 32.4% |
| Final | 42.8% | 26.3% | 30.9% |
| Edge | +2.3% | -0.8% | -1.5% |
Why Wacker Innsbruck
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.95 vs 1.39.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Wacker Innsbruck below our published probability: +2.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
86%
3+ goals
65%
No goals
5%
Wacker Innsbruck and Austria Salzburg expected goals
Wacker Innsbruck
1.95
Austria Salzburg
1.39
Total expected goals: 3.34
Wacker Innsbruck and Austria Salzburg attack and defence ratings
Wacker Innsbruck
Attack
1.11 +11%
Defence
0.90 -10%
Austria Salzburg
Attack
1.21 +21%
Defence
1.15 +15%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Wacker Innsbruck vs Austria Salzburg: result vs prediction
Wacker Innsbruck 0 – 1 Austria Salzburg
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Wacker Innsbruck vs Austria Salzburg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wacker Innsbruck | 42.8% | 2.34 | +2.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.4% | 1.99 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wacker Innsbruck | 42.8% |
| Draw | 26.3% | |
| Austria Salzburg | 30.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.3% |
| No | 34.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Wacker Innsbruck win | 29.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 50.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 2-0 | 6.8% |
Wacker Innsbruck vs Austria Salzburg stats
Wacker Innsbruck and Austria Salzburg recent form
| Wacker Innsbruck |
WDDWLW |
| Austria Salzburg |
WLDLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Wacker Innsbruck and Austria Salzburg going into this match
Wacker Innsbruck record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Austria Salzburg record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Wacker Innsbruck vs Austria Salzburg head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
1Wacker Innsbruck wins
2Draws
1Austria Salzburg wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-05-13 | Wacker Innsbruck | Austria Salzburg | 2. Liga | 2-2 |
| 2016-04-01 | Austria Salzburg | Wacker Innsbruck | 2. Liga | 1-0 |
| 2015-11-02 | Wacker Innsbruck | Austria Salzburg | 2. Liga | 1-1 |
| 2015-08-28 | Austria Salzburg | Wacker Innsbruck | 2. Liga | 3-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Wacker Innsbruck vs Austria Salzburg odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.5%, draw 27.1%, away 32.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.33 | 3.40 | 2.81 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.40 | 2.88 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.40 | 2.88 |
| Marathonbet | 2.31 | 3.40 | 2.79 |
| Pinnacle | 2.32 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.10 | 2.80 |