2. Liga
·
·Matchday 9
Wacker Innsbruck
vs
Austria Salzburg
Garuda Lions Prediction: Wacker Innsbruck
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Wacker Innsbruck
50%
Draw
24%
Austria Salzburg
26%
Chance Wacker Innsbruck wins
50%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
96%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
65%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
9% of simulated outcomes
Wacker Innsbruck vs Austria Salzburg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Wacker Innsbruck vs Austria Salzburg
| Probability | Wacker Innsbruck | Draw | Austria Salzburg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.8% | 23.9% | 26.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 49.8% | 23.9% | 26.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Wacker Innsbruck
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 1.39.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
86%
3+ goals
65%
No goals
4%
Wacker Innsbruck and Austria Salzburg expected goals
Wacker Innsbruck
1.96
Austria Salzburg
1.39
Total expected goals: 3.35
Wacker Innsbruck and Austria Salzburg attack and defence ratings
Wacker Innsbruck
Attack
1.08 +8%
Defence
0.92 -8%
Austria Salzburg
Attack
1.18 +18%
Defence
1.19 +19%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Wacker Innsbruck vs Austria Salzburg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wacker Innsbruck | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wacker Innsbruck | 49.8% |
| Draw | 23.9% | |
| Austria Salzburg | 26.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.4% |
| No | 34.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Wacker Innsbruck win | 29.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 50.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 2-0 | 6.7% |
Wacker Innsbruck vs Austria Salzburg stats
Wacker Innsbruck and Austria Salzburg recent form
| Wacker Innsbruck |
DDWLWW |
| Austria Salzburg |
LDLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Wacker Innsbruck and Austria Salzburg season so far
Wacker Innsbruck record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Austria Salzburg record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 52% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.