Garuda Lions
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2. Liga · Full time ·Matchday 9

FC BW Linz vs FC Liefering

4 – 1 Full time

Hofmann Personal Stadion, LinzReferee: S. Barmaksiz

FC BW Linz 65%
Draw 19%
FC Liefering 16%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

FC BW Linz vs FC Liefering overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC BW Linz vs FC Liefering

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC BW LinzDrawFC Liefering
Model62.3%19.0%18.7%
Market66.1%18.4%15.5%
Final65.2%18.5%16.3%
Edge-3.8%+0.6%+3.1%

Confidence: Low

Why FC BW Linz

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.61 vs 1.43.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC BW Linz ↓ / FC Liefering → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 5% 2 6% 9% 6% 3 5% 7% 5% 4+ 6% 9% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 92%
3+ goals 77%
No goals 2%

FC BW Linz and FC Liefering expected goals

FC BW Linz 2.61
FC Liefering 1.43

Total expected goals: 4.04

FC BW Linz and FC Liefering attack and defence ratings

FC BW Linz

Attack 1.48 +48%
Defence 0.81 -19%

FC Liefering

Attack 1.38 +38%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC BW Linz vs FC Liefering: result vs prediction

FC BW Linz 4 – 1 FC Liefering

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

2. Liga

Before and after this match

FC BW Linz vs FC Liefering markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC BW Linz 65.2% 1.53 -3.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 76.7% 1.30 — —
Both teams to score Yes 71.0% 1.41 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.7% 1.20 — —
Handicap -1 FC BW Linz win 42.4% 2.36 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC BW Linz65.2%
Draw18.5%
FC Liefering16.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.576.7%
Under 2.523.3%
Both teams to scoreYes71.0%
No29.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.7%
12 (either side)81.5%
X2 (draw or away)34.8%
Handicap -1FC BW Linz win42.4%
Push (exactly one goal)19.8%
Loss37.8%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.6%
3-17.5%
1-17.2%

FC BW Linz vs FC Liefering stats

FC BW Linz and FC Liefering recent form

newest first
FC BW Linz DWWLLW
FC Liefering WLLWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC BW Linz and FC Liefering going into this match

league record before kick-off

FC BW Linz record

  • They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
  • They average 3.8 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

FC Liefering record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.

FC BW Linz vs FC Liefering head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

4FC BW Linz wins 3Draws 2FC Liefering wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2023-04-14FC LieferingFC BW Linz2. Liga2-2
2022-10-29FC BW LinzFC Liefering2. Liga4-0
2022-05-13FC BW LinzFC Liefering2. Liga3-0
2021-11-06FC LieferingFC BW Linz2. Liga0-0
2021-05-23FC LieferingFC BW Linz2. Liga1-1
2021-02-19FC BW LinzFC Liefering2. Liga1-0
2019-12-01FC LieferingFC BW Linz2. Liga5-1
2019-11-22FC BW LinzFC Liefering2. Liga2-4
2019-04-26FC LieferingFC BW Linz2. Liga2-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC BW Linz vs FC Liefering odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 65.8%, draw 18.3%, away 16.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.40 5.05 5.96
Bet365 1.40 4.75 5.50
BetVictor 1.36 5.00 6.50
Betano 1.42 5.10 5.60
Betfair 1.33 5.00 6.00
Dafabet 1.43 5.20 5.60
Marathonbet 1.39 5.05 5.90
Pinnacle 1.40 5.73 6.00
SBO 1.36 4.49 5.22
William Hill 1.36 5.00 5.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.40 ▲ +0.03
X 5.03 ▼ -0.12
2 5.93 ▲ +0.03

13 snapshots recorded, from .