2. Liga
·
·Matchday 9
Voitsberg
vs
First Vienna
Garuda Lions Prediction: First Vienna
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Voitsberg
17%
Draw
22%
First Vienna
61%
Chance First Vienna wins
61%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
95%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
59%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
10% of simulated outcomes
Voitsberg vs First Vienna overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Voitsberg vs First Vienna
| Probability | Voitsberg | Draw | First Vienna |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16.9% | 21.7% | 61.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 16.9% | 21.7% | 61.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why First Vienna
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.17 vs 1.07.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
84%
3+ goals
63%
No goals
5%
Voitsberg and First Vienna expected goals
Voitsberg
1.07
First Vienna
2.17
Total expected goals: 3.25
Voitsberg and First Vienna attack and defence ratings
Voitsberg
Attack
1.17 +17%
Defence
1.30 +30%
First Vienna
Attack
1.29 +29%
Defence
0.61 -39%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Voitsberg vs First Vienna markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | First Vienna | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 83.1% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | First Vienna win | 39.5% | 2.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Voitsberg | 16.9% |
| Draw | 21.7% | |
| First Vienna | 61.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.1% |
| No | 40.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 38.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 83.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | First Vienna win | 39.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 38.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.0% |
| 1-2 | 9.9% | |
| 0-2 | 9.2% |
Voitsberg vs First Vienna stats
Voitsberg and First Vienna recent form
| Voitsberg |
WDLLLD |
| First Vienna |
WWWWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Voitsberg and First Vienna season so far
Voitsberg record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
First Vienna record
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.