Garuda Lions
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2. Liga · Full time ·Matchday 8

SV Kapfenberg vs Austria Vienna (Am)

0 – 1 Full time

Alpenstadion, KapfenbergReferee: A. Untergasser

SV Kapfenberg 33%
Draw 25%
Austria Vienna (Am) 43%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

SV Kapfenberg vs Austria Vienna (Am) overview

Garuda Lions analysis: SV Kapfenberg vs Austria Vienna (Am)

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySV KapfenbergDrawAustria Vienna (Am)
Model32.3%23.0%44.8%
Market32.7%25.4%41.9%
Final32.6%24.8%42.6%
Edge-0.5%-2.5%+2.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Austria Vienna (Am)

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 1.70.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Austria Vienna (Am) below the model: +2.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

SV Kapfenberg ↓ / Austria Vienna → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 1 9% 8% 6% 2 7% 7% 5% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 72%
No goals 3%

SV Kapfenberg and Austria Vienna (Am) expected goals

SV Kapfenberg 1.70
Austria Vienna (Am) 2.02

Total expected goals: 3.72

SV Kapfenberg and Austria Vienna (Am) attack and defence ratings

SV Kapfenberg

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 1.35 +35%

Austria Vienna (Am)

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 1.18 +18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

SV Kapfenberg vs Austria Vienna (Am): result vs prediction

SV Kapfenberg 0 – 1 Austria Vienna (Am)

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

2. Liga

Before and after this match

SV Kapfenberg vs Austria Vienna (Am) markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Austria Vienna (Am) 42.6% 2.35 +2.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 71.8% 1.39 — —
Both teams to score Yes 71.7% 1.39 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.2% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.2% 1.81 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2SV Kapfenberg32.6%
Draw24.8%
Austria Vienna (Am)42.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.571.8%
Under 2.528.2%
Both teams to scoreYes71.7%
No28.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)57.4%
12 (either side)75.2%
X2 (draw or away)67.4%
Handicap -1Austria Vienna (Am) win25.9%
Push (exactly one goal)18.9%
Loss55.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.2%
1-28.4%
2-27.1%

SV Kapfenberg vs Austria Vienna (Am) stats

SV Kapfenberg and Austria Vienna (Am) recent form

newest first
SV Kapfenberg LLLWLL
Austria Vienna (Am) WLWLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

SV Kapfenberg and Austria Vienna (Am) going into this match

league record before kick-off

SV Kapfenberg record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

Austria Vienna (Am) record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

SV Kapfenberg vs Austria Vienna (Am) head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5SV Kapfenberg wins 2Draws 3Austria Vienna (Am) wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-14Austria Vienna (Am)SV Kapfenberg2. Liga1-2
2025-11-28SV KapfenbergAustria Vienna (Am)2. Liga1-2
2023-02-25SV KapfenbergAustria Vienna (Am)2. Liga4-2
2022-08-05Austria Vienna (Am)SV Kapfenberg2. Liga2-2
2022-05-06SV KapfenbergAustria Vienna (Am)2. Liga5-1
2021-10-30Austria Vienna (Am)SV Kapfenberg2. Liga1-3
2021-04-02Austria Vienna (Am)SV Kapfenberg2. Liga1-2
2020-10-03SV KapfenbergAustria Vienna (Am)2. Liga0-0
2020-07-31SV KapfenbergAustria Vienna (Am)2. Liga0-3
2019-11-08Austria Vienna (Am)SV Kapfenberg2. Liga4-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

SV Kapfenberg vs Austria Vienna (Am) odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 32.7%, draw 25.4%, away 41.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.85 3.64 2.20
Bet365 2.80 3.60 2.15
BetVictor 2.80 3.60 2.20
Betano 2.85 3.65 2.20
Betfair 2.80 3.60 2.15
Dafabet 2.85 3.65 2.24
Marathonbet 2.83 3.64 2.18
Pinnacle 2.95 3.71 2.27
SBO 2.75 3.31 2.15
William Hill 2.75 3.40 2.20

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.