Garuda Lions
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2. Liga · Full time ·Matchday 6

Admira Wacker vs SV Kapfenberg

1 – 0 Full time

16′T. Gemicibasi
46′N. R. DubovJ. Rostas
46′L. CocoA. Sokcevic
61′S. SteinerA. Schmidt
66′M. BagrationiM. Pranjkovic
68′A. Marinovic
76′J. ForstM. Wagner
76′B. NyarkoA. Djordjevic
83′M. MiskovicF. Stauder
88′N. AjanovicX. Woudstra

Motion Invest Arena, Maria EnzersdorfReferee: J. Weinberger

Admira Wacker 51%
Draw 25%
SV Kapfenberg 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Admira Wacker vs SV Kapfenberg overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Admira Wacker vs SV Kapfenberg

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAdmira WackerDrawSV Kapfenberg
Model50.0%27.9%22.1%
Market50.9%23.9%25.2%
Final50.7%24.9%24.4%
Edge-0.9%+4.0%-3.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Admira Wacker

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 0.96.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Admira Wacker ↓ / SV Kapfenberg → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 11% 13% 2 10% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

Admira Wacker and SV Kapfenberg expected goals

Admira Wacker 1.55
SV Kapfenberg 0.96

Total expected goals: 2.51

Admira Wacker and SV Kapfenberg attack and defence ratings

Admira Wacker

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 0.82 -18%

SV Kapfenberg

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 1.28 +28%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Admira Wacker vs SV Kapfenberg: result vs prediction

Admira Wacker 1 – 0 SV Kapfenberg

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

2. Liga

Before and after this match

Admira Wacker vs SV Kapfenberg markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Admira Wacker 50.7% 1.97 -0.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 54.1% 1.85 — —
Both teams to score No 50.2% 1.99 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.6% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.0% 2.00 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Admira Wacker50.7%
Draw24.9%
SV Kapfenberg24.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545.9%
Under 2.554.1%
Both teams to scoreYes49.8%
No50.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.6%
12 (either side)75.1%
X2 (draw or away)49.3%
Handicap -1Admira Wacker win26.6%
Push (exactly one goal)23.4%
Loss50.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.3%
1-011.4%
2-09.8%

Admira Wacker vs SV Kapfenberg stats

Admira Wacker and SV Kapfenberg recent form

newest first
Admira Wacker WLWLLL
SV Kapfenberg LWLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Admira Wacker and SV Kapfenberg going into this match

league record before kick-off

Admira Wacker record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

SV Kapfenberg record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

Admira Wacker vs SV Kapfenberg head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Admira Wacker wins 2Draws 2SV Kapfenberg wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-12-05Admira WackerSV Kapfenberg2. Liga6-1
2025-08-01SV KapfenbergAdmira Wacker2. Liga0-2
2025-01-31Admira WackerSV KapfenbergFriendlies Clubs2-0
2024-12-06SV KapfenbergAdmira Wacker2. Liga3-4
2024-08-02Admira WackerSV Kapfenberg2. Liga0-1
2024-04-19Admira WackerSV Kapfenberg2. Liga1-0
2023-09-30SV KapfenbergAdmira Wacker2. Liga1-1
2023-04-18Admira WackerSV Kapfenberg2. Liga0-2
2022-09-16SV KapfenbergAdmira Wacker2. Liga2-4
2020-10-16Admira WackerSV KapfenbergCup2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Admira Wacker vs SV Kapfenberg odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 53.1%, draw 23.6%, away 23.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.68 3.85 4.20
1xBet 1.79 3.90 3.87
888Sport 1.73 3.60 4.00
Bet365 1.83 3.90 3.40
BetVictor 1.83 3.80 3.60
Betano 1.72 3.95 4.00
Betfair 1.67 3.90 4.20
Dafabet 1.71 3.95 4.30
Marathonbet 1.77 3.90 3.88
Pinnacle 1.85 4.02 3.78
SBO 1.63 3.56 3.94
Superbet 1.71 3.85 4.20
William Hill 1.83 3.60 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.83 ▲ +0.12
X 3.90 ▲ +0.02
2 3.69 ▼ -0.41

14 snapshots recorded, from .