Garuda Lions
Today
2. Liga · Full time ·Matchday 5

WSPG Wels vs Admira Wacker

1 – 3 Full time

Huber-Arena, WelsReferee: F. Jager

WSPG Wels 39%
Draw 28%
Admira Wacker 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

WSPG Wels vs Admira Wacker overview

Garuda Lions analysis: WSPG Wels vs Admira Wacker

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityWSPG WelsDrawAdmira Wacker
Model46.0%30.0%23.9%
Market36.9%26.8%36.3%
Final39.2%27.6%33.2%
Edge+9.1%+3.3%-12.4%

Confidence: Low

Why WSPG Wels

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.38 vs 0.92.
  • The market prices WSPG Wels below the model: +9.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

WSPG Wels ↓ / Admira Wacker → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 8% 1 13% 14% 2 10% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 68%
3+ goals 40%
No goals 11%

WSPG Wels and Admira Wacker expected goals

WSPG Wels 1.38
Admira Wacker 0.92

Total expected goals: 2.30

WSPG Wels and Admira Wacker attack and defence ratings

WSPG Wels

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Admira Wacker

Attack 0.72 -28%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

WSPG Wels vs Admira Wacker: result vs prediction

WSPG Wels 1 – 3 Admira Wacker

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

2. Liga

Before and after this match

WSPG Wels vs Admira Wacker markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 WSPG Wels 39.2% 2.55 +9.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 59.7% 1.67 — —
Both teams to score No 53.8% 1.86 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.4% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.8% 1.86 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2WSPG Wels39.2%
Draw27.6%
Admira Wacker33.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.540.3%
Under 2.559.7%
Both teams to scoreYes46.2%
No53.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.8%
12 (either side)72.4%
X2 (draw or away)60.8%
Handicap -1WSPG Wels win22.8%
Push (exactly one goal)23.4%
Loss53.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.0%
1-012.6%
0-011.3%

WSPG Wels vs Admira Wacker stats

WSPG Wels and Admira Wacker recent form

newest first
WSPG Wels DLWLWL
Admira Wacker LWLLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

WSPG Wels and Admira Wacker going into this match

league record before kick-off

WSPG Wels record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Admira Wacker record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

WSPG Wels vs Admira Wacker head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1WSPG Wels wins 0Draws 1Admira Wacker wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-27WSPG WelsAdmira Wacker2. Liga1-0
2025-08-22Admira WackerWSPG Wels2. Liga1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

WSPG Wels vs Admira Wacker odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.9%, draw 26.8%, away 36.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.50 3.45 2.50
1xBet 2.49 3.52 2.54
Bet365 2.55 3.50 2.55
BetVictor 2.50 3.40 2.55
Betano 2.52 3.40 2.57
Betfair 2.40 3.50 2.50
Dafabet 2.60 3.45 2.55
Marathonbet 2.49 3.52 2.54
Pinnacle 2.53 3.55 2.58
SBO 2.41 3.11 2.41
Superbet 2.57 3.35 2.52
William Hill 2.40 3.25 2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.50 ▼ -0.13
X 3.45 ▼ -0.07
2 2.54 ▲ +0.15

14 snapshots recorded, from .