SKN ST. Polten
vs
Austria Salzburg
1 – 0 Full time
SKN ST. Polten vs Austria Salzburg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: SKN ST. Polten vs Austria Salzburg
| Probability | SKN ST. Polten | Draw | Austria Salzburg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.4% | 33.0% | 41.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 25.4% | 33.0% | 41.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Austria Salzburg
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.16 vs 0.85.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
SKN ST. Polten and Austria Salzburg expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.00
SKN ST. Polten and Austria Salzburg attack and defence ratings
SKN ST. Polten
Austria Salzburg
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
SKN ST. Polten vs Austria Salzburg: result vs prediction
SKN ST. Polten 1 – 0 Austria Salzburg
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
- SV Kapfenberg vs FC BW Linz — team news & stats
- First Vienna vs SKU Amstetten
- Voitsberg v FC Liefering — match page
- WSPG Wels vs Admira Wacker — team news & stats
- Floridsdorfer AC vs Wacker Innsbruck
- Austria Vienna (Am) v Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz — match page
- Sturm Graz II vs Rapid Wien II — team news & stats
Before and after this match
SKN ST. Polten vs Austria Salzburg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Austria Salzburg | 41.6% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SKN ST. Polten | 25.4% |
| Draw | 33.0% | |
| Austria Salzburg | 41.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 67.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.4% |
| No | 59.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Austria Salzburg win | 18.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.3% | |
| Loss | 58.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 14.8% |
| 1-1 | 14.5% | |
| 0-1 | 14.3% |
SKN ST. Polten vs Austria Salzburg stats
SKN ST. Polten and Austria Salzburg recent form
| SKN ST. Polten |
LLLLWW |
| Austria Salzburg |
WLWWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
SKN ST. Polten and Austria Salzburg going into this match
Austria Salzburg record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- 56% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
SKN ST. Polten vs Austria Salzburg head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | SKN ST. Polten | Austria Salzburg | 2. Liga | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Austria Salzburg | SKN ST. Polten | 2. Liga | 1-2 |
| 2016-04-15 | Austria Salzburg | SKN ST. Polten | 2. Liga | 0-1 |
| 2015-11-27 | SKN ST. Polten | Austria Salzburg | 2. Liga | 6-2 |
| 2015-09-18 | Austria Salzburg | SKN ST. Polten | 2. Liga | 1-5 |
| 2015-07-24 | SKN ST. Polten | Austria Salzburg | 2. Liga | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.