First Vienna
vs
SKU Amstetten
1 – 0 Full time
First Vienna vs SKU Amstetten overview
Garuda Lions analysis: First Vienna vs SKU Amstetten
| Probability | First Vienna | Draw | SKU Amstetten |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.6% | 28.1% | 21.3% |
| Market | 40.9% | 26.3% | 32.7% |
| Final | 43.4% | 26.8% | 29.9% |
| Edge | +9.7% | +1.8% | -11.5% |
Why First Vienna
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 0.92.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices First Vienna below the model: +9.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
First Vienna and SKU Amstetten expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.45
First Vienna and SKU Amstetten attack and defence ratings
First Vienna
SKU Amstetten
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
First Vienna vs SKU Amstetten: result vs prediction
First Vienna 1 – 0 SKU Amstetten
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
- SKN ST. Polten v Austria Salzburg — match page
- SV Kapfenberg vs FC BW Linz — team news & stats
- Voitsberg v FC Liefering — match page
- WSPG Wels vs Admira Wacker — team news & stats
- Floridsdorfer AC vs Wacker Innsbruck
- Austria Vienna (Am) v Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz — match page
- Sturm Graz II vs Rapid Wien II — team news & stats
Before and after this match
First Vienna vs SKU Amstetten markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | First Vienna | 43.4% | 2.31 | +9.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.7% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.4% | 2.02 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | First Vienna | 43.4% |
| Draw | 26.8% | |
| SKU Amstetten | 29.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.3% |
| No | 51.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | First Vienna win | 26.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.8% | |
| Loss | 49.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 1-0 | 12.0% | |
| 2-0 | 10.2% |
First Vienna vs SKU Amstetten stats
First Vienna and SKU Amstetten recent form
| First Vienna |
WDLWWW |
| SKU Amstetten |
DDWDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
First Vienna and SKU Amstetten going into this match
First Vienna record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
SKU Amstetten record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
First Vienna vs SKU Amstetten head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | SKU Amstetten | First Vienna | 2. Liga | 0-0 |
| 2025-11-01 | First Vienna | SKU Amstetten | 2. Liga | 2-3 |
| 2025-08-26 | SKU Amstetten | First Vienna | Austria Cup | 2-1 |
| 2025-05-16 | First Vienna | SKU Amstetten | 2. Liga | 1-3 |
| 2024-11-22 | SKU Amstetten | First Vienna | 2. Liga | 1-3 |
| 2024-05-25 | First Vienna | SKU Amstetten | 2. Liga | 4-1 |
| 2023-11-26 | SKU Amstetten | First Vienna | 2. Liga | 1-3 |
| 2023-05-05 | SKU Amstetten | First Vienna | 2. Liga | 0-4 |
| 2022-09-11 | First Vienna | SKU Amstetten | 2. Liga | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
First Vienna vs SKU Amstetten odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.9%, draw 26.3%, away 32.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.75 |
| 1xBet | 2.27 | 3.55 | 2.85 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.27 | 3.45 | 2.85 |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 3.60 | 2.70 |
| Dafabet | 2.31 | 3.50 | 2.85 |
| Marathonbet | 2.25 | 3.55 | 2.83 |
| Pinnacle | 2.27 | 3.60 | 2.87 |
| SBO | 2.19 | 3.16 | 2.64 |
| Superbet | 2.30 | 3.45 | 2.80 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.30 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .