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Austria Cup · Full time ·Round of 32

SKN ST. Polten vs Red Bull Salzburg

0 – 3 Full time

23′H. Tabakovic
33′A. Camara
46′P. RuppL. Hartwig
50′B. Mazurek
53′E. H. Mane
56′N. VeratschnigL. Morgalla
56′E. BaidooJ. Lindstrom
56′K. KonateS. Kitano
59′L. GabbichlerM. Kolodziejczyk
61′J. MellbergV. Zabransky
71′L. BucheggerT. Altersberger
71′J. AmonJ. Halmich
71′E. H. ManeJ. Wanner
71′B. MazurekE. Aguilar

NV Arena

SKN ST. Polten 7%
Draw 19%
Red Bull Salzburg 74%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

SKN ST. Polten vs Red Bull Salzburg overview

Garuda Lions analysis: SKN ST. Polten vs Red Bull Salzburg

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySKN ST. PoltenDrawRed Bull Salzburg
Model6.6%23.6%69.8%
Market7.4%17.2%75.4%
Final7.2%18.8%74.0%
Edge-0.9%+6.4%-5.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Red Bull Salzburg

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.69 vs 0.36.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

SKN ST. Polten ↓ / Red Bull Salzb → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 21% 18% 1 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 62%
3+ goals 34%
No goals 14%

SKN ST. Polten and Red Bull Salzburg expected goals

SKN ST. Polten 0.36
Red Bull Salzburg 1.69

Total expected goals: 2.05

SKN ST. Polten and Red Bull Salzburg attack and defence ratings

SKN ST. Polten

Attack 0.51 -49%
Defence 0.49 -51%

Red Bull Salzburg

Attack 1.29 +29%
Defence 0.59 -41%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

SKN ST. Polten vs Red Bull Salzburg: result vs prediction

SKN ST. Polten 0 – 3 Red Bull Salzburg

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 32 fixtures

Austria Cup

Before and after this match

SKN ST. Polten vs Red Bull Salzburg markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Red Bull Salzburg 74.0% 1.35 -5.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 66.4% 1.51 — —
Both teams to score No 74.6% 1.34 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 92.8% 1.08 — —
Handicap -1 Red Bull Salzburg win 41.7% 2.40 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2SKN ST. Polten7.2%
Draw18.8%
Red Bull Salzburg74.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.533.6%
Under 2.566.4%
Both teams to scoreYes25.4%
No74.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)26.0%
12 (either side)81.2%
X2 (draw or away)92.8%
Handicap -1Red Bull Salzburg win41.7%
Push (exactly one goal)28.3%
Loss30.0%
Correct score (top 3)0-121.0%
0-218.4%
0-013.7%

SKN ST. Polten vs Red Bull Salzburg stats

SKN ST. Polten and Red Bull Salzburg recent form

newest first
SKN ST. Polten WLLLLW
Red Bull Salzburg WWWWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

SKN ST. Polten vs Red Bull Salzburg head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

0SKN ST. Polten wins 2Draws 8Red Bull Salzburg wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2021-10-27SKN ST. PoltenRed Bull SalzburgCup0-3
2021-03-07Red Bull SalzburgSKN ST. PoltenBundesliga4-1
2020-11-28SKN ST. PoltenRed Bull SalzburgBundesliga2-8
2020-10-17SKN ST. PoltenRed Bull SalzburgCup0-3
2019-11-23Red Bull SalzburgSKN ST. PoltenBundesliga2-2
2019-08-17SKN ST. PoltenRed Bull SalzburgBundesliga0-6
2019-05-26Red Bull SalzburgSKN ST. PoltenBundesliga7-0
2019-04-21SKN ST. PoltenRed Bull SalzburgBundesliga1-1
2018-12-16Red Bull SalzburgSKN ST. PoltenBundesliga5-1
2018-09-15SKN ST. PoltenRed Bull SalzburgBundesliga1-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

SKN ST. Polten vs Red Bull Salzburg odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 8.6%, draw 16.6%, away 74.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 13.90 5.40 1.19
Bet365 11.00 6.50 1.18
BetVictor 9.00 4.80 1.13
Dafabet 9.00 6.20 1.24
Marathonbet 13.25 5.40 1.18
Pinnacle 9.89 4.19 1.20
Superbet 8.70 6.20 1.24
William Hill 13.00 5.00 1.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 12.00 ▲ +3.15
X 5.20 ▼ -0.90
2 1.19 ▼ -0.05

5 snapshots recorded, from .