Garuda Lions
Today
Austria Bundesliga · Full time ·Matchday 4

Red Bull Salzburg vs Rapid Vienna

5 – 1 Full time

4′H. Tabakovic
15′N. Veratschnig
21′H. Tabakovic
46′J. HornE. Roka
46′E. KaraP. Dahl
46′E. Baidoo
51′M. Seidl
59′H. TabakovicK. Konate
59′Y. VertessenA. Camara
68′S. KitanoU. Tohumcu
69′Nenad Cvetković
74′T. AdamsenN. Wurmbrand
74′M. HaidaraM. Tilio
83′E. BaidooE. Aguilar
85′N. BajliczL. Schaub
90′K. Konate

Red Bull Arena, SalzburgReferee: Jakob Semler, Austria

Red Bull Salzburg 50%
Draw 24%
Rapid Vienna 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 17
9 Shots on target 4
57 Possession % 43
2 Corners 7
8 Fouls 8
2 Offsides 1
3 Saves 4
512 Accurate passes 508

Red Bull Salzburg vs Rapid Vienna overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Red Bull Salzburg vs Rapid Vienna

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRed Bull SalzburgDrawRapid Vienna
Model39.6%24.6%35.8%
Market52.8%23.2%24.0%
Final49.5%23.5%26.9%
Edge-13.2%+1.4%+11.8%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Red Bull Salzb ↓ / Rapid Vienna → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 11% 8% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 66%
No goals 4%

Red Bull Salzburg and Rapid Vienna expected goals

Red Bull Salzburg 1.74
Rapid Vienna 1.66

Total expected goals: 3.40

Red Bull Salzburg and Rapid Vienna attack and defence ratings

Red Bull Salzburg

Attack 1.55 +55%
Defence 0.73 -27%

Rapid Vienna

Attack 1.81 +81%
Defence 0.76 -24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Red Bull Salzburg vs Rapid Vienna: result vs prediction

Red Bull Salzburg 5 – 1 Rapid Vienna

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Austria Bundesliga

Before and after this match

Red Bull Salzburg vs Rapid Vienna markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Red Bull Salzburg 49.5% 2.02 -13.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 65.9% 1.52 — —
Both teams to score Yes 67.6% 1.48 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.5% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 60.5% 1.65 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Red Bull Salzburg49.5%
Draw23.5%
Rapid Vienna26.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565.9%
Under 2.534.1%
Both teams to scoreYes67.6%
No32.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.1%
12 (either side)76.5%
X2 (draw or away)50.5%
Handicap -1Red Bull Salzburg win21.1%
Push (exactly one goal)18.4%
Loss60.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.6%
2-18.4%
1-28.0%

Red Bull Salzburg vs Rapid Vienna stats

Red Bull Salzburg and Rapid Vienna recent form

newest first
Red Bull Salzburg WWWWDD
Rapid Vienna WDDWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Red Bull Salzburg and Rapid Vienna going into this match

league record before kick-off

Red Bull Salzburg record

  • They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.

Red Bull Salzburg vs Rapid Vienna head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Red Bull Salzburg wins 2Draws 5Rapid Vienna wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-26Rapid ViennaRed Bull SalzburgAustria Bundesliga1-0
2026-03-15Red Bull SalzburgRapid ViennaAustria Bundesliga0-1
2026-03-08Rapid ViennaRed Bull SalzburgAustria Bundesliga1-0
2025-10-05Red Bull SalzburgRapid ViennaAustria Bundesliga2-1
2025-05-24Red Bull SalzburgRapid ViennaBundesliga4-2
2025-03-30Rapid ViennaRed Bull SalzburgBundesliga0-2
2024-12-07Red Bull SalzburgRapid ViennaBundesliga2-2
2024-09-01Rapid ViennaRed Bull SalzburgBundesliga3-2
2024-05-05Rapid ViennaRed Bull SalzburgBundesliga2-0
2024-04-07Red Bull SalzburgRapid ViennaBundesliga1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Red Bull Salzburg vs Rapid Vienna odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 52.8%, draw 23.2%, away 24.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.77 3.95 4.00
1xBet 1.76 4.15 3.89
Bet365 1.75 4.00 4.10
BetVictor 1.75 4.20 4.00
Betano 1.78 3.95 3.90
Betfair 1.80 4.10 3.70
Dafabet 1.78 4.10 4.10
Marathonbet 1.74 4.15 3.92
Pinnacle 1.79 4.25 4.16
Superbet 1.76 4.00 3.90
Unibet 1.84 4.00 3.55
William Hill 1.80 3.80 3.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.77 ▼ -0.23
X 4.05 ▲ +0.29
2 3.91 ▲ +0.65

9 snapshots recorded, from .