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Austria Bundesliga · Full time ·Matchday 5

Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Vienna

4 – 1 Full time

13′Lee Kang-Hee
19′H. Tabakovic
31′B. Mazurek
39′Dominik Schmid
46′H. TabakovicA. Camara
46′S. SaljicM. Fischer
46′J. HettwerF. Wustinger
47′M. Fischer
55′Y. Vertessen
64′J. EggesteinK. Boateng
65′N. VeratschnigL. Morgalla
65′D. RedzicE. Baidoo
68′A. DragovicJ. Handl
74′B. MazurekU. Tohumcu
80′K. BomaJ. Mellberg
82′D. NnodimJ. Feddersen
90′Matteo Schablas

Red Bull Arena, SalzburgReferee: Walter Altmann, Austria

Red Bull Salzburg 65%
Draw 20%
Austria Vienna 15%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 3
70 Possession % 30
7 Corners 4
3 Fouls 7
0 Offsides 1
2 Saves 2
740 Accurate passes 268

Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Vienna overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Vienna

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRed Bull SalzburgDrawAustria Vienna
Model59.4%23.1%17.5%
Market66.3%19.4%14.3%
Final64.6%20.3%15.1%
Edge-6.9%+3.7%+3.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Red Bull Salzburg

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.87 vs 0.84.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Red Bull Salzb ↓ / Austria Vienna → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 11% 12% 2 12% 10% 3 7% 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

Red Bull Salzburg and Austria Vienna expected goals

Red Bull Salzburg 1.87
Austria Vienna 0.84

Total expected goals: 2.71

Red Bull Salzburg and Austria Vienna attack and defence ratings

Red Bull Salzburg

Attack 1.43 +43%
Defence 0.76 -24%

Austria Vienna

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Vienna: result vs prediction

Red Bull Salzburg 4 – 1 Austria Vienna

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Austria Bundesliga

Before and after this match

Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Vienna markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Red Bull Salzburg 64.6% 1.55 -6.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58.4% 1.71 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.4% 1.77 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 84.9% 1.18 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 39.6% 2.53 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Red Bull Salzburg64.6%
Draw20.3%
Austria Vienna15.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558.4%
Under 2.541.6%
Both teams to scoreYes56.4%
No43.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)84.9%
12 (either side)79.7%
X2 (draw or away)35.4%
Handicap -1Red Bull Salzburg win36.4%
Push (exactly one goal)24.1%
Loss39.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.9%
2-110.0%
2-09.8%

Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Vienna stats

Red Bull Salzburg and Austria Vienna recent form

newest first
Red Bull Salzburg WWWDDW
Austria Vienna DLWLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Red Bull Salzburg and Austria Vienna going into this match

league record before kick-off

Red Bull Salzburg record

  • They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.

Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Vienna head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

3Red Bull Salzburg wins 0Draws 1Austria Vienna wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-22Red Bull SalzburgAustria ViennaAustria Bundesliga3-1
2026-04-19Austria ViennaRed Bull SalzburgAustria Bundesliga1-3
2026-02-06Red Bull SalzburgAustria ViennaAustria Bundesliga0-2
2025-10-26Austria ViennaRed Bull SalzburgAustria Bundesliga0-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Vienna odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 66.3%, draw 19.4%, away 14.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.44 4.80 6.20
1xBet 1.41 4.80 6.68
Bet365 1.40 4.75 6.50
BetVictor 1.40 4.80 6.50
Betano 1.44 4.70 6.30
Betfair 1.36 5.00 6.50
Dafabet 1.43 5.00 6.60
Marathonbet 1.40 4.80 6.70
Pinnacle 1.41 4.78 7.18
SBO 1.34 4.37 5.90
Unibet 1.38 4.60 6.40
William Hill 1.40 4.40 6.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.40 ▼ -0.33
X 4.79 ▲ +1.02
2 6.50 ▲ +2.11

14 snapshots recorded, from .