Austria Bundesliga · Full time ·Matchday 5

Grazer AK vs Wolfsberger AC

0 – 0 Full time

Merkur-Arena, GrazReferee: Markus Greinecker, Austria

Grazer AK 31%
Draw 26%
Wolfsberger AC 43%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Grazer AK vs Wolfsberger AC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Grazer AK vs Wolfsberger AC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGrazer AKDrawWolfsberger AC
Model25.8%24.7%49.5%
Market32.2%26.4%41.4%
Final30.6%26.0%43.4%
Edge-6.4%-1.8%+8.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Wolfsberger AC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.87 vs 1.29.
  • The market prices Wolfsberger AC below the model: +8.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Grazer AK ↓ / Wolfsberger AC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 1 11% 10% 6% 2 7% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

Grazer AK and Wolfsberger AC expected goals

Grazer AK 1.29
Wolfsberger AC 1.87

Total expected goals: 3.17

Grazer AK and Wolfsberger AC attack and defence ratings

Grazer AK

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 1.27 +27%

Wolfsberger AC

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 0.82 -18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Grazer AK vs Wolfsberger AC: result vs prediction

Grazer AK 0 – 0 Wolfsberger AC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Austria Bundesliga

Before and after this match

Grazer AK vs Wolfsberger AC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Wolfsberger AC 43.4% 2.30 +8.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.3% 1.63 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.6% 1.60 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.0% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.0% 2.00 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Grazer AK30.6%
Draw26.0%
Wolfsberger AC43.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.3%
Under 2.538.7%
Both teams to scoreYes62.6%
No37.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)56.6%
12 (either side)74.0%
X2 (draw or away)69.4%
Handicap -1Wolfsberger AC win28.8%
Push (exactly one goal)21.2%
Loss50.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.3%
1-29.5%
0-27.3%

Grazer AK vs Wolfsberger AC stats

Grazer AK and Wolfsberger AC recent form

newest first
Grazer AK LLWLWW
Wolfsberger AC LDWWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Grazer AK and Wolfsberger AC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Grazer AK record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 5 matches.

Grazer AK vs Wolfsberger AC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Grazer AK wins 1Draws 6Wolfsberger AC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-25Wolfsberger ACGrazer AKAustria Bundesliga1-0
2026-03-14Grazer AKWolfsberger ACAustria Bundesliga2-0
2026-02-08Wolfsberger ACGrazer AKAustria Bundesliga2-2
2025-10-04Grazer AKWolfsberger ACAustria Bundesliga1-3
2024-11-30Grazer AKWolfsberger ACBundesliga3-4
2024-08-25Wolfsberger ACGrazer AKBundesliga4-2
2024-01-19Grazer AKWolfsberger ACFriendlies Clubs0-1
2022-07-06Grazer AKWolfsberger ACFriendlies Clubs2-1
2022-07-06Wolfsberger ACGrazer AKFriendlies Clubs1-2
2012-09-26Grazer AKWolfsberger ACCup0-6

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Grazer AK vs Wolfsberger AC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 32.2%, draw 26.4%, away 41.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.90 3.55 2.25
1xBet 2.88 3.52 2.29
Bet365 2.90 3.50 2.30
BetVictor 2.88 3.50 2.25
Betano 2.90 3.55 2.25
Betfair 2.88 3.60 2.25
Dafabet 2.95 3.55 2.32
Marathonbet 2.88 3.52 2.27
Pinnacle 2.89 3.66 2.32
SBO 2.71 3.14 2.16
Superbet 2.92 3.40 2.30
Unibet 2.95 3.50 2.25
William Hill 2.80 3.40 2.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.89 ▼ -0.51
X 3.52 ▼ -0.08
2 2.25 ▲ +0.25

12 snapshots recorded, from .