Garuda Lions
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Austria Cup · Full time ·Round of 32

Kitzbühel vs Grazer AK

0 – 2 Full time

3′A. Hofleitner
46′D. MadernerM. Grosse
46′AndersonJ. Italiano
51′Kitzbühel
71′T. RitterR. Quehenberger
71′S. LaufV. Winter
71′T. YildirimB. Huber
72′M. Madersbacher
73′T. KochB. Cvetko
78′Grazer AK
83′F. MarkelicA. Krimbacher
83′M. MadersbacherJ. Schmidt
85′P. MichorlL. Hermesh

Sportstadion Kitzbuhel-Langau

Kitzbühel 14%
Draw 19%
Grazer AK 68%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Kitzbühel vs Grazer AK overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kitzbühel vs Grazer AK

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKitzbühelDrawGrazer AK
Model24.1%24.6%51.3%
Market10.0%16.8%73.2%
Final13.5%18.7%67.7%
Edge+14.2%+7.8%-21.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Grazer AK

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.88 vs 1.24.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kitzbühel ↓ / Grazer AK → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 8% 1 11% 10% 6% 2 6% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 5%

Kitzbühel and Grazer AK expected goals

Kitzbühel 1.24
Grazer AK 1.88

Total expected goals: 3.12

Kitzbühel and Grazer AK attack and defence ratings

Kitzbühel

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Grazer AK

Attack 0.75 -25%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Kitzbühel vs Grazer AK: result vs prediction

Kitzbühel 0 – 2 Grazer AK

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 32 fixtures

Austria Cup

Before and after this match

Kitzbühel vs Grazer AK markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Grazer AK 67.7% 1.48 -21.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.3% 1.66 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.3% 1.63 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 86.5% 1.16 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 48.7% 2.05 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kitzbühel13.5%
Draw18.7%
Grazer AK67.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.3%
Under 2.539.7%
Both teams to scoreYes61.3%
No38.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)32.3%
12 (either side)81.3%
X2 (draw or away)86.5%
Handicap -1Grazer AK win29.8%
Push (exactly one goal)21.5%
Loss48.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.3%
1-29.7%
0-27.8%

Kitzbühel vs Grazer AK stats

Kitzbühel and Grazer AK recent form

newest first
Kitzbühel W
Grazer AK DLLWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.

Kitzbühel vs Grazer AK head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Kitzbühel vs Grazer AK odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 11.7%, draw 16.4%, away 71.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 10.30 5.45 1.22
Bet365 7.00 5.25 1.30
BetVictor 7.00 4.60 1.18
Dafabet 7.20 6.60 1.27
Marathonbet 9.90 5.45 1.21
Pinnacle 7.93 5.34 1.21
Superbet 7.10 6.60 1.27
William Hill 10.00 5.00 1.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 8.91 ▲ +1.75
X 5.29 ▼ -1.21
2 1.21 ▼ -0.05

5 snapshots recorded, from .