Austria Bundesliga · Full time ·Matchday 5

Austria Lustenau vs WSG Wattens

0 – 4 Full time

Planet Pure Stadion, LustenauReferee: Manuel Baumann, Austria

Austria Lustenau 46%
Draw 26%
WSG Wattens 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Austria Lustenau vs WSG Wattens overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Austria Lustenau vs WSG Wattens

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAustria LustenauDrawWSG Wattens
Model61.4%22.5%16.1%
Market40.9%26.8%32.3%
Final46.0%25.7%28.3%
Edge+20.5%-4.3%-16.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Austria Lustenau

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 0.98.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Austria Lustenau below the model: +20.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Austria Lusten ↓ / WSG Wattens → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 9% 11% 2 10% 10% 3 7% 7% 4+ 6% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 6%

Austria Lustenau and WSG Wattens expected goals

Austria Lustenau 2.06
WSG Wattens 0.98

Total expected goals: 3.04

Austria Lustenau and WSG Wattens attack and defence ratings

Austria Lustenau

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 0.84 -16%

WSG Wattens

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 1.32 +32%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Austria Lustenau vs WSG Wattens: result vs prediction

Austria Lustenau 0 – 4 WSG Wattens

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Austria Bundesliga

Before and after this match

Austria Lustenau vs WSG Wattens markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Austria Lustenau 46.0% 2.17 +20.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58.6% 1.71 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.5% 1.80 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.3% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Austria Lustenau win 38.6% 2.59 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Austria Lustenau46.0%
Draw25.7%
WSG Wattens28.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558.6%
Under 2.541.4%
Both teams to scoreYes55.5%
No44.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.7%
12 (either side)74.3%
X2 (draw or away)54.0%
Handicap -1Austria Lustenau win38.6%
Push (exactly one goal)22.8%
Loss38.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.6%
2-010.2%
2-19.9%

Austria Lustenau vs WSG Wattens stats

Austria Lustenau and WSG Wattens recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Austria Lustenau vs WSG Wattens head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

3Austria Lustenau wins 1Draws 5WSG Wattens wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-31Austria LustenauWSG WattensFriendlies Clubs0-6
2024-04-27WSG WattensAustria LustenauBundesliga0-0
2024-03-30Austria LustenauWSG WattensBundesliga1-2
2024-02-11WSG WattensAustria LustenauBundesliga0-2
2023-09-17Austria LustenauWSG WattensBundesliga2-3
2023-05-20Austria LustenauWSG WattensBundesliga2-4
2023-04-22WSG WattensAustria LustenauBundesliga0-2
2022-11-24Austria LustenauWSG WattensFriendlies Clubs4-3
2022-10-15WSG WattensAustria LustenauBundesliga3-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Austria Lustenau vs WSG Wattens odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.9%, draw 26.8%, away 32.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.25 3.50 2.95
1xBet 2.31 3.45 2.90
Bet365 2.25 3.50 3.00
BetVictor 2.25 3.50 2.88
Betano 2.30 3.40 2.90
Betfair 2.25 3.60 2.88
Dafabet 2.34 3.55 2.95
Marathonbet 2.29 3.45 2.89
Pinnacle 2.32 3.61 2.92
SBO 2.19 3.16 2.64
Superbet 2.30 3.45 2.90
Unibet 2.33 3.50 2.80
William Hill 2.25 3.30 2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.29 ▼ -0.10
X 3.50 —
2 2.90 ▲ +0.16

10 snapshots recorded, from .