UEFA Europa League · Full time ·Play-offs

Red Bull Salzburg vs Mjallby AIF

3 – 0 Full time

Red Bull Arena, SalzburgReferee: I. Peljto

Red Bull Salzburg 75%
Draw 16%
Mjallby AIF 9%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Red Bull Salzburg vs Mjallby AIF overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Red Bull Salzburg vs Mjallby AIF

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRed Bull SalzburgDrawMjallby AIF
Model68.2%19.9%11.9%
Market77.8%14.4%7.9%
Final75.4%15.8%8.9%
Edge-9.6%+5.6%+4.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Red Bull Salzburg

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.25 vs 0.85.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Red Bull Salzb ↓ / Mjallby AIF → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 9% 2 11% 10% 3 9% 7% 4+ 8% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 5%

Red Bull Salzburg and Mjallby AIF expected goals

Red Bull Salzburg 2.25
Mjallby AIF 0.85

Total expected goals: 3.11

Red Bull Salzburg and Mjallby AIF attack and defence ratings

Red Bull Salzburg

Attack 1.37 +37%
Defence 0.84 -16%

Mjallby AIF

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Red Bull Salzburg vs Mjallby AIF: result vs prediction

Red Bull Salzburg 3 – 0 Mjallby AIF

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Play-offs fixtures

UEFA Europa League

Before and after this match

Red Bull Salzburg vs Mjallby AIF markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Red Bull Salzburg 75.4% 1.33 -9.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.0% 1.67 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.2% 1.91 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 91.1% 1.10 — —
Handicap -1 Red Bull Salzburg win 45.6% 2.19 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Red Bull Salzburg75.4%
Draw15.8%
Mjallby AIF8.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.0%
Under 2.540.0%
Both teams to scoreYes52.2%
No47.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)91.1%
12 (either side)84.2%
X2 (draw or away)24.6%
Handicap -1Red Bull Salzburg win45.6%
Push (exactly one goal)22.6%
Loss31.8%
Correct score (top 3)2-011.4%
2-19.7%
1-19.5%

Red Bull Salzburg vs Mjallby AIF stats

Red Bull Salzburg and Mjallby AIF recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Red Bull Salzburg vs Mjallby AIF head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Red Bull Salzburg wins 0Draws 0Mjallby AIF wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-20Mjallby AIFRed Bull SalzburgUEFA Europa League0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Red Bull Salzburg vs Mjallby AIF odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 77.8%, draw 14.4%, away 7.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.21 6.20 12.50
1xBet 1.20 7.80 14.80
Bet365 1.20 5.75 10.00
BetVictor 1.18 7.00 13.00
Betano 1.25 5.90 9.75
Betfair 1.18 6.50 13.00
Dafabet 1.22 7.00 12.00
Marathonbet 1.19 6.60 12.00
Pinnacle 1.20 6.91 11.85
SBO 1.22 5.51 8.30
Superbet 1.22 6.80 11.00
Unibet 1.20 6.10 11.50
William Hill 1.18 6.00 11.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.20 ▼ -0.06
X 6.50 ▲ +0.90
2 11.85 ▲ +0.35

14 snapshots recorded, from .