Austria Bundesliga · 2026-09-20T12:30:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 7

Ried vs Wolfsberger AC

4 – 1 Full time

3′			Ante Bajic
9′			Evan Eghosa Aisowieren
38′			Lukas Gutlbauer
40′			Stefan Schwab
42′			Stefan Schwab
45′			Dominik Fitz
45′			Raffael BehounekDonis Avdijaj
45′			Markus PinkLuca Hassler
45′			Otar MamageishviliEmanuel Agyeman
55′			J. RhodesJoris Boguo
56′			Matteo Kitz
58′			Simon Piesinger
69′			Evan Eghosa AisowierenIsaac Thelin
69′			Stefan SchwabTobias·Lund Jensen
71′			Dominik FitzSankara William Karamoko
75′			Oliver Steurer
81′			Isaac Thelin
83′			Ante BajicLukas Malicsek
83′			Martin RasnerNiama Sissoko
85′			Isaac Thelin
87′			Marco Alessandro SulznerThorsten Schriebl
87′			Matteo Kitz

Josko Arena, ReedReferee: Alexander Harkam

Ried

48%

Draw

26%

Wolfsberger AC

26%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

20	Shots	26
11	Shots on target	5
47	Possession %	53
0	Corners	9
9	Fouls	13
2	Offsides	1
4	Saves	7
318	Accurate passes	348

Ried vs Wolfsberger AC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Ried vs Wolfsberger AC

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Ried	Draw	Wolfsberger AC
Model	48.6%	24.4%	27.1%
Market	48.4%	26.0%	25.6%
Final	48.4%	25.6%	26.0%
Edge	+0.2%	-1.7%	+1.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Ried

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.89 vs 1.38.
Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

95%

2+ goals

85%

3+ goals

63%

No goals

Ried and Wolfsberger AC expected goals

Ried

1.89

Wolfsberger AC

1.38

Total expected goals: 3.27

Ried and Wolfsberger AC attack and defence ratings

Ried

Attack

1.21 +21%

Defence

1.10 +10%

Wolfsberger AC

Attack

1.00 +0%

Defence

1.05 +5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Ried vs Wolfsberger AC: result vs prediction

Ried 4 – 1 Wolfsberger AC

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Austria Bundesliga

Rapid Vienna v WSG Wattens — match page · 2026-09-18
Austria Lustenau vs SCR Altach — team news & stats · 2026-09-19
Grazer AK vs Austria Vienna · 2026-09-19
TSV Hartberg vs Lask Linz — team news & stats · 2026-09-20
Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz · 2026-09-20

Before and after this match

Ried, previous: Ried vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction
Ried, next: WSG Wattens vs Ried prediction
Wolfsberger AC, previous: Wolfsberger AC v Rapid Vienna analysis
Wolfsberger AC, next: SCR Altach – Wolfsberger AC, 2026-10-11

Ried vs Wolfsberger AC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Ried	48.4%	2.06	+0.2%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	63.5%	1.58	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	64.5%	1.55	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	74.4%	1.34	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	51.4%	1.94	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Ried	48.4%
	Draw	25.6%
	Wolfsberger AC	26.0%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	63.5%
	Under 2.5	36.5%
Both teams to score	Yes	64.5%
	No	35.5%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	74.0%
	12 (either side)	74.4%
	X2 (draw or away)	51.6%
Handicap -1	Ried win	27.9%
	Push (exactly one goal)	20.7%
	Loss	51.4%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	10.9%
	2-1	9.4%
	1-2	6.8%

Ried vs Wolfsberger AC stats

Ried and Wolfsberger AC recent form

newest first

Ried	DWLWLL
Wolfsberger AC	LDLDLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Ried and Wolfsberger AC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Ried record

They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Wolfsberger AC record

They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Ried vs Wolfsberger AC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Ried wins 2Draws 4Wolfsberger AC wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-05-19	Ried	Wolfsberger AC	Austria Bundesliga	2-1
2026-05-09	Ried	Wolfsberger AC	Austria Bundesliga	0-1
2026-04-11	Wolfsberger AC	Ried	Austria Bundesliga	0-0
2025-11-29	Ried	Wolfsberger AC	Austria Bundesliga	1-0
2025-10-18	Wolfsberger AC	Ried	Austria Bundesliga	1-2
2023-09-26	Ried	Wolfsberger AC	Cup	1-2
2023-06-02	Ried	Wolfsberger AC	Bundesliga	1-2
2023-04-01	Wolfsberger AC	Ried	Bundesliga	1-0
2023-03-19	Ried	Wolfsberger AC	Bundesliga	0-0
2022-10-09	Wolfsberger AC	Ried	Bundesliga	1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Ried vs Wolfsberger AC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 48.4%, draw 26.0%, away 25.6%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	1.93	3.52	3.74
Bet365	1.90	3.80	3.60
BetVictor	1.93	3.75	3.70
Betano	1.93	3.60	3.65
Betfair	1.90	3.80	3.60
Marathonbet	1.91	3.52	3.74
Pinnacle	1.97	3.59	4.01
SBO	1.92	3.40	3.41
William Hill	1.95	3.40	3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.93 ▼ -0.33

X 3.59 ▲ +0.06

2 3.65 ▲ +0.78

19 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-11T08:10:02Z.