Austria Bundesliga · Full time ·Matchday 6

Austria Vienna vs Austria Lustenau

2 – 1 Full time

41′Daniel NnodimKang-Hee Lee
45′Philipp MaybachSanel Saljic
45′Albin GashiSacha Delaye
47′Dominik Weixelbraun
63′Vasilije MarkovicJulian Hettwer
70′Dominik WeixelbraunPrecious Benjamin
70′Emmanuel ChukwuMatthias Maak
78′Valentino MüllerKelvin Owusu Boateng
81′Antonio VerinacLenn Jastremski
81′Julian Hettwer
86′Niklas Pertlwieser
90′Kelvin Owusu Boateng

Generali Arena, ViennaReferee: Christian-Petru Ciochirca, Austria

Austria Vienna 50%
Draw 25%
Austria Lustenau 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 5
63 Possession % 37
6 Corners 4
5 Fouls 7
3 Offsides 3
4 Saves 3
430 Accurate passes 226

Austria Vienna vs Austria Lustenau overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Austria Vienna vs Austria Lustenau

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAustria ViennaDrawAustria Lustenau
Model45.0%24.2%30.9%
Market52.2%25.0%22.8%
Final50.4%24.8%24.8%
Edge-7.2%-0.9%+8.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Austria Vienna

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.88 vs 1.54.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Austria Vienna ↓ / Austria Lusten → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 10% 7% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 66%
No goals 4%

Austria Vienna and Austria Lustenau expected goals

Austria Vienna 1.88
Austria Lustenau 1.54

Total expected goals: 3.42

Austria Vienna and Austria Lustenau attack and defence ratings

Austria Vienna

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Austria Lustenau

Attack 1.28 +28%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Austria Vienna vs Austria Lustenau: result vs prediction

Austria Vienna 2 – 1 Austria Lustenau

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Austria Bundesliga

Before and after this match

Austria Vienna vs Austria Lustenau markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Austria Vienna 50.4% 1.99 -7.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 66.3% 1.51 — —
Both teams to score Yes 67.5% 1.48 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.2% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.0% 1.82 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Austria Vienna50.4%
Draw24.8%
Austria Lustenau24.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.566.3%
Under 2.533.7%
Both teams to scoreYes67.5%
No32.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.2%
12 (either side)75.2%
X2 (draw or away)49.6%
Handicap -1Austria Vienna win25.4%
Push (exactly one goal)19.6%
Loss55.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.4%
2-18.9%
1-27.3%

Austria Vienna vs Austria Lustenau stats

Austria Vienna and Austria Lustenau recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Austria Vienna and Austria Lustenau going into this match

league record before kick-off

Austria Vienna record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.

Austria Lustenau record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • 55% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Austria Vienna vs Austria Lustenau head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

4Austria Vienna wins 3Draws 2Austria Lustenau wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-05-03Austria LustenauAustria ViennaBundesliga2-0
2024-04-06Austria ViennaAustria LustenauBundesliga1-1
2023-11-04Austria ViennaAustria LustenauBundesliga1-0
2023-08-06Austria LustenauAustria ViennaBundesliga0-2
2023-06-11Austria ViennaAustria LustenauBundesliga5-0
2023-06-08Austria LustenauAustria ViennaBundesliga1-1
2023-02-19Austria LustenauAustria ViennaBundesliga1-0
2022-09-03Austria ViennaAustria LustenauBundesliga2-2
2012-04-11Austria LustenauAustria ViennaCup1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Austria Vienna vs Austria Lustenau odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 51.8%, draw 24.9%, away 23.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.85 3.60 3.85
1xBet 1.79 3.75 4.12
Bet365 1.80 3.80 4.00
BetVictor 1.75 3.80 4.33
Betano 1.80 3.65 4.15
Betfair 1.80 3.80 4.00
Dafabet 1.85 3.55 4.00
Marathonbet 1.77 3.75 4.15
Pinnacle 1.80 3.96 4.38
SBO 1.85 3.30 3.50
William Hill 1.75 3.60 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.80 ▲ +0.10
X 3.75 ▲ +0.15
2 4.12 ▼ -0.21

28 snapshots recorded, from .