Premier League
·
Full time
·Matchday 7
Brentford
vs
Liverpool
1 – 2 Full time
| 31′ | Bradley Barcola | ||
| 32′ | Dominik SzoboszlaiTreymaurice Nyoni | ||
| 44′ | Keane Lewis-Potter | ||
| 45′ | Yehor Yarmoliuk | ||
| 45′ | Ronald AraujoJeremie Frimpong | ||
| 45′ | Dango OuattaraKevin Schade | ||
| 45′ | Mathias JensenMamadou Sangare | ||
| 46′ | Igor Thiago | ||
| 49′ | Jérémy Jacquet | ||
| 52′ | Jeremie FrimpongRio Ngumoha | ||
| 53′ | Alexis Mac Allister | ||
| 60′ | Kevin Schade | ||
| 62′ | Víctor Muñoz | ||
| 63′ | Vitaly Janelt | ||
| 70′ | Alexander Isak | ||
| 71′ | Sepp van den BergAaron Hickey | ||
| 77′ | Keane Lewis-PotterEl Hadji Malick Diouf | ||
| 77′ | Jaidon AnthonyMikkel Damsgaard | ||
| 79′ | Alexander IsakLewis Koumas | ||
| 79′ | Víctor MuñozJoe Gomez | ||
| 90′ | Vitaly Janelt |
Brentford
42%
Draw
25%
Liverpool
34%
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 21 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 40 | Possession % | 60 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 7 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 3 | Saves | 1 |
| 244 | Accurate passes | 413 |
Brentford vs Liverpool overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Brentford vs Liverpool
| Probability | Brentford | Draw | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.5% | 20.7% | 31.8% |
| Market | 39.5% | 26.1% | 34.4% |
| Final | 41.5% | 24.7% | 33.8% |
| Edge | +8.0% | -5.4% | -2.7% |
Why Brentford
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.35 vs 2.04.
- The market prices Brentford below the model: +8.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
95%
3+ goals
83%
No goals
2%
Brentford and Liverpool expected goals
Brentford
2.35
Liverpool
2.04
Total expected goals: 4.40
Brentford and Liverpool attack and defence ratings
Brentford
Attack
1.37 +37%
Defence
1.14 +14%
Liverpool
Attack
1.44 +44%
Defence
1.12 +12%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Brentford vs Liverpool: result vs prediction
Brentford 1 – 2 Liverpool
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Everton vs Chelsea
- Fulham v Hull City — match page
- Manchester City vs Ipswich — team news & stats
- Newcastle United v Aston Villa — match page
- Bournemouth vs Sunderland — team news & stats
- Brighton vs Crystal Palace
- Leeds v Manchester United — match page
- Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Brentford vs Liverpool markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brentford | 41.5% | 2.41 | +8.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brentford | 41.5% |
| Draw | 24.7% | |
| Liverpool | 33.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 17.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 80.5% |
| No | 19.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Brentford win | 29.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.6% | |
| Loss | 52.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-2 | 7.0% |
| 2-1 | 6.8% | |
| 1-1 | 6.4% |
Brentford vs Liverpool stats
Brentford and Liverpool recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Brentford and Liverpool going into this match
Brentford record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Liverpool record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Brentford vs Liverpool head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Brentford wins
2Draws
6Liverpool wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Liverpool | Brentford | Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Brentford | Liverpool | Premier League | 3-2 |
| 2025-01-18 | Brentford | Liverpool | Premier League | 0-2 |
| 2024-08-25 | Liverpool | Brentford | Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2024-02-17 | Brentford | Liverpool | Premier League | 1-4 |
| 2023-11-12 | Liverpool | Brentford | Premier League | 3-0 |
| 2023-05-06 | Liverpool | Brentford | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2023-01-02 | Brentford | Liverpool | Premier League | 3-1 |
| 2022-01-16 | Liverpool | Brentford | Premier League | 3-0 |
| 2021-09-25 | Brentford | Liverpool | Premier League | 3-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Brentford vs Liverpool odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.0%, draw 25.9%, away 34.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.51 | 3.74 | 2.86 |
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 3.75 | 2.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.38 | 3.70 | 2.63 |
| Betano | 2.35 | 3.70 | 2.80 |
| Betfair | 2.38 | 3.60 | 2.88 |
| Dafabet | 2.42 | 3.70 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.47 | 3.68 | 2.82 |
| Pinnacle | 2.49 | 3.66 | 2.79 |
| SBO | 2.36 | 3.22 | 2.52 |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.44 ▼ -0.18
X
3.69 ▼ -0.08
2
2.79 ▲ +0.37
55 snapshots recorded, from .