Hull City
vs
Brentford
Garuda Lions Prediction: Brentford
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Brentford is the favourite, not a value bet.
Hull City vs Brentford overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hull City vs Brentford
| Probability | Hull City | Draw | Brentford |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.5% | 27.0% | 40.5% |
| Market | 19.9% | 23.9% | 56.2% |
| Final | 23.1% | 24.7% | 52.3% |
| Edge | +3.2% | +0.8% | -3.9% |
Why Brentford
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.73, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.5% per unit staked (our 52.3% × 1.73 − 1).
Hull City vs Brentford match preview
Hull City faces Brentford in an upcoming Premier League match, with the probabilities indicating a 24% chance for a Hull City victory, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 51% likelihood of a Brentford win. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, occurring with a 9% probability. The expected goals for Hull City stand at 1.39, while Brentford is projected at 1.64.
In terms of recent form, Hull City has struggled, recording five matches without a win (L-D-L-D-L-D), while Brentford has shown more resilience with two wins in their last six games (L-D-W-W-D-D). Our model suggests a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% likelihood that both teams will score.
Hull City and Brentford team news
Hull City news
- C. Hughes — groin injury
- D. Gyabi — groin injury
- E. Matazo — knee injury
- I. Ansah — back injury
- J. Butland — arm injury
- L. Gourna-Douath — calf injury
- M. Cho — muscle injury
- M. Targett — ankle injury
- N. Mendy — groin injury
- R. Vaz — achilles tendon injury
Brentford news
- A. Milambo — knock
- J. Dasilva — muscle injury
- K. Furo — surgery
- V. Janelt — suspended
- Y. Yarmolyuk — suspended
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Hull City and Brentford expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.03
Hull City and Brentford attack and defence ratings
Hull City
Brentford
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Hull City vs Brentford markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brentford | 52.3% | 1.91 | -3.9% | 1.73 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hull City | 23.1% |
| Draw | 24.7% | |
| Brentford | 52.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.6% |
| No | 36.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 47.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Brentford win | 21.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.0% | |
| Loss | 59.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 1-2 | 8.9% | |
| 2-1 | 7.9% |
Hull City vs Brentford stats
Hull City and Brentford recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Hull City and Brentford season so far
Hull City record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Brentford record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Hull City vs Brentford head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Hull City vs Brentford odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 20.1%, draw 23.8%, away 56.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.03 | 4.21 | 1.73 |
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 3.90 | 1.73 |
| BetVictor | 4.60 | 3.90 | 1.65 |
| Betano | 4.75 | 3.90 | 1.72 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.70 |
| Dafabet | 4.80 | 4.10 | 1.71 |
| Marathonbet | 4.90 | 4.10 | 1.68 |
| Pinnacle | 4.81 | 4.14 | 1.70 |
| SBO | 4.22 | 3.57 | 1.64 |
| William Hill | 4.50 | 3.90 | 1.70 |
| winamax_de | 4.50 | 4.00 | 1.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
26 snapshots recorded, from .