Coventry
vs
Fulham
Garuda Lions Prediction: Fulham
1 – 2 Predicted score · 7% model probability
Coventry vs Fulham overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Coventry vs Fulham
| Probability | Coventry | Draw | Fulham |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.9% | 24.5% | 29.6% |
| Market | 32.3% | 26.9% | 40.8% |
| Final | 35.7% | 26.3% | 38.0% |
| Edge | +13.6% | -2.4% | -11.1% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.39, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Coventry vs Fulham match preview
Coventry faces Fulham in a Premier League clash with probabilities suggesting a competitive match. Coventry has a 36% chance of winning, while Fulham stands at 38%, with a 26% likelihood of a draw. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, occurring at a rate of 7%. Both teams are expected to contribute to a high-scoring game, with over 2.5 goals projected at 68% and both teams to score at 69%.
In terms of expected goals, Coventry is forecasted to score 1.87, while Fulham is expected to net 1.56. Recent form shows Coventry with two wins followed by four losses, while Fulham has recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. The confidence grade for this matchup is B, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Coventry and Fulham expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.43
Coventry and Fulham attack and defence ratings
Coventry
Fulham
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Coventry vs Fulham markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fulham | 38.0% | 2.63 | -11.1% | 2.39 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Coventry | 35.7% |
| Draw | 26.3% | |
| Fulham | 38.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.3% |
| No | 30.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fulham win | 14.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.0% | |
| Loss | 70.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.4% |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | |
| 1-2 | 7.1% |
Coventry vs Fulham stats
Coventry and Fulham recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Coventry and Fulham season so far
Coventry record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 5 matches.
Fulham record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Coventry vs Fulham head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Coventry vs Fulham odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.3%, draw 26.7%, away 40.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.12 | 3.61 | 2.39 |
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.30 |
| BetVictor | 2.88 | 3.50 | 2.25 |
| Betano | 3.00 | 3.55 | 2.30 |
| Betfair | 2.88 | 3.60 | 2.25 |
| Marathonbet | 3.04 | 3.52 | 2.33 |
| Pinnacle | 2.94 | 3.55 | 2.34 |
| SBO | 2.65 | 3.19 | 2.28 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.25 |
| winamax_de | 2.90 | 3.45 | 2.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .