Tottenham
vs
Coventry
Garuda Lions Prediction: Tottenham
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Tottenham vs Coventry overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tottenham vs Coventry
| Probability | Tottenham | Draw | Coventry |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.7% | 24.5% | 28.8% |
| Market | 63.9% | 21.0% | 15.1% |
| Final | 59.6% | 21.9% | 18.5% |
| Edge | -17.3% | +3.5% | +13.8% |
Why Tottenham
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.88 vs 1.53.
Best available price on the pick: 1.54, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Tottenham vs Coventry match preview
Tottenham faces Coventry in their upcoming Premier League match with a probability of winning set at 59%, while Coventry holds a 19% chance of victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1, occurring with a 9% likelihood. Additionally, there is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% probability that both teams will score during the match.
In terms of expected goals, Tottenham is projected to score 1.88, whereas Coventry is expected to net 1.53. Recent form shows Tottenham struggling with a series of draws and losses, recording D-L-L-D-D-L, while Coventry has shown some improvement with two wins followed by three losses, totaling W-W-L-L-L-L. The confidence grade for this match is B.
Tottenham and Coventry team news
Tottenham news
- D. Kulusevski — knee injury
- M. Mudryk — ankle injury
- P. Porro — muscle injury
- R. Bentancur — suspended
- W. Odobert — knee injury
- X. Simons — knee injury
Coventry news
- A. Amenda — calf injury
- H. Wright — muscle injury
- J. Eccles — injury
- K. Kesler-Hayden — muscle injury
- L. Woolfenden — knee injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Tottenham and Coventry expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.41
Tottenham and Coventry attack and defence ratings
Tottenham
Coventry
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Fulham v Hull City — match page
- Manchester City vs Ipswich — team news & stats
- Brentford vs Liverpool
- Newcastle United v Aston Villa — match page
- Bournemouth vs Sunderland — team news & stats
- Brighton vs Crystal Palace
- Leeds v Manchester United — match page
- Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Tottenham vs Coventry markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tottenham | 59.6% | 1.68 | -17.3% | 1.54 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.3% | 1.87 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tottenham | 59.6% |
| Draw | 21.9% | |
| Coventry | 18.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.8% |
| No | 31.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tottenham win | 27.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 53.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | |
| 1-2 | 7.0% |
Tottenham vs Coventry stats
Tottenham and Coventry recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tottenham and Coventry season so far
Tottenham record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 5 matches.
Coventry record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 5 matches.
Tottenham vs Coventry head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Tottenham vs Coventry odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 63.8%, draw 21.0%, away 15.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.54 | 4.72 | 6.47 |
| Bet365 | 1.45 | 4.50 | 7.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.44 | 4.50 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.50 | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 4.50 | 6.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.48 | 4.90 | 6.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.50 | 4.60 | 6.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.49 | 4.79 | 6.40 |
| SBO | 1.43 | 4.12 | 5.42 |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 4.33 | 5.80 |
| winamax_fr | 1.38 | 4.30 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
25 snapshots recorded, from .