Premier League
·
Full time
·Matchday 7
Everton
vs
Chelsea
0 – 2 Full time
| 23′ | Harrison Armstrong | ||
| 27′ | Pedro Neto | ||
| 32′ | Josh Acheampong | ||
| 34′ | James Tarkowski | ||
| 34′ | Morgan Rogers | ||
| 46′ | Pedro Neto | ||
| 55′ | Ainsley Maitland-NilesTyrique George | ||
| 65′ | Cole Palmer | ||
| 75′ | Emiliano MartínezMike Penders | ||
| 85′ | Harrison ArmstrongChristian Nørgaard | ||
| 85′ | Jack GrealishBrennan Johnson | ||
| 89′ | Christian Nørgaard | ||
| 90′ | Pedro Neto | ||
| 90′ | João PedroDanny Welbeck | ||
| 90′ | Jorrel HatoMarco Palestra | ||
| 90′ | Moises CaicedoRomeo Lavia | ||
| 90′ | Pedro NetoGeovany Quenda |
Everton
38%
Draw
24%
Chelsea
38%
Match stats
| 6 | Shots | 18 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 47 | Possession % | 53 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 8 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Offsides | 1 |
| 4 | Saves | 5 |
| 323 | Accurate passes | 383 |
Everton vs Chelsea overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Everton vs Chelsea
| Probability | Everton | Draw | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.1% | 20.4% | 19.5% |
| Market | 30.7% | 25.6% | 43.7% |
| Final | 38.0% | 24.3% | 37.7% |
| Edge | +29.4% | -5.2% | -24.2% |
Why Everton
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.39 vs 1.42.
- The market prices Everton below the model: +29.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
91%
3+ goals
75%
No goals
3%
Everton and Chelsea expected goals
Everton
2.39
Chelsea
1.42
Total expected goals: 3.81
Everton and Chelsea attack and defence ratings
Everton
Attack
1.24 +24%
Defence
0.94 -6%
Chelsea
Attack
1.22 +22%
Defence
1.25 +25%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Everton vs Chelsea: result vs prediction
Everton 0 – 2 Chelsea
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Fulham v Hull City — match page
- Manchester City vs Ipswich — team news & stats
- Brentford vs Liverpool
- Newcastle United v Aston Villa — match page
- Bournemouth vs Sunderland — team news & stats
- Brighton vs Crystal Palace
- Leeds v Manchester United — match page
- Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Everton vs Chelsea markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Everton | 38.0% | 2.63 | +29.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Everton win | 40.3% | 2.48 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Everton | 38.0% |
| Draw | 24.3% | |
| Chelsea | 37.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.7% |
| No | 29.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Everton win | 40.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.8% | |
| Loss | 39.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.8% |
| 1-1 | 8.1% | |
| 3-1 | 7.3% |
Everton vs Chelsea stats
Everton and Chelsea recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Everton and Chelsea going into this match
Everton record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Chelsea record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They average 3.7 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
Everton vs Chelsea head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Everton wins
3Draws
4Chelsea wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Everton | Chelsea | Premier League | 3-0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Chelsea | Everton | Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2025-04-26 | Chelsea | Everton | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2024-12-22 | Everton | Chelsea | Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2024-04-15 | Chelsea | Everton | Premier League | 6-0 |
| 2023-12-10 | Everton | Chelsea | Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2023-03-18 | Chelsea | Everton | Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2022-08-06 | Everton | Chelsea | Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2022-05-01 | Everton | Chelsea | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2021-12-16 | Chelsea | Everton | Premier League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Everton vs Chelsea odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.3%, draw 25.9%, away 43.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.23 | 3.86 | 2.24 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.80 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 3.15 | 3.65 | 2.18 |
| Betfair | 3.25 | 3.70 | 2.15 |
| Dafabet | 3.20 | 3.70 | 2.19 |
| Marathonbet | 3.18 | 3.80 | 2.20 |
| Pinnacle | 3.17 | 3.71 | 2.23 |
| SBO | 2.90 | 3.21 | 2.11 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
3.13 ▲ +0.03
X
3.75 ▲ +0.15
2
2.20 —
55 snapshots recorded, from .